Center for Cervical Cancer Elimination, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (CLINTEC), Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, F56, Stockholm, Sweden.
International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC/WHO), Early Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, Lyon, France.
Nat Commun. 2024 May 1;15(1):3679. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-47909-x.
HPV vaccination with concomitant HPV-based screening of young women has been proposed for faster cervical cancer elimination. We describe the baseline results of a population-based trial of this strategy to reduce the incidence of HPV. All 89,547 women born 1994-1999 and resident in the capital region of Sweden were personally invited to concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening with 26,125 women (29.2%) enrolled between 2021-05-03 and 2022-12-31. Baseline HPV genotyping of cervical samples from the study participants finds, compared to pre-vaccination prevalences, a strong decline of HPV16 and 18 in birth cohorts previously offered vaccination, some decline for cross-protected HPV types but no decline for HPV types not targeted by vaccines. Our dynamic transmission modelling predicts that the trial could reduce the incidence of high-risk HPV infections among the 1994-1998 cohorts by 62-64% in 3 years. Baseline results are prevalences of HPV infection, validated transmission model projections, and power estimates for evaluating HPV incidence reductions at follow-up (+/-0.1% with 99.9% confidence). In conclusion, concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening appears to be a realistic option for faster cervical cancer elimination. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT04910802; EudraCT number: 2020-001169-34.
HPV 疫苗接种与年轻女性 HPV 联合筛查被提议用于加速宫颈癌的消除。我们描述了一项基于人群的该策略试验的基线结果,以降低 HPV 的发病率。所有 1994 年至 1999 年出生且居住在瑞典首都地区的 89547 名女性均被邀请接受 HPV 联合疫苗接种和 HPV 筛查,其中 26125 名女性(29.2%)于 2021 年 5 月 3 日至 2022 年 12 月 31 日期间入组。对研究参与者的宫颈样本进行基线 HPV 基因分型发现,与接种前的流行率相比,之前接种过疫苗的出生队列中 HPV16 和 18 的流行率大幅下降,一些交叉保护的 HPV 类型的流行率有所下降,但疫苗未针对的 HPV 类型的流行率没有下降。我们的动态传播模型预测,该试验可在 3 年内将 1994-1998 年出生队列中高危 HPV 感染的发病率降低 62-64%。基线结果是 HPV 感染的流行率、经过验证的传播模型预测结果以及评估随访时 HPV 发病率降低的效力估计值(置信度为 99.9%时为+/-0.1%)。总之,HPV 疫苗接种与 HPV 联合筛查似乎是加速宫颈癌消除的一种现实选择。临床试验注册编号:NCT04910802;EudraCT 编号:2020-001169-34。