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2021-2023 年伊利诺伊州家猫体内抗 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的时空聚集性

Spatial and temporal clustering of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Illinois household cats, 2021-2023.

机构信息

Department of Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois, United States of America.

Department of Population Medicine and Diagnostic Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 2;19(5):e0299388. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299388. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate the seroprevalence and spatial and temporal clustering of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in household cats within 63 counties in Illinois from October 2021 to May 2023. The analysis followed a stepwise approach. First, in a choropleth point map, we illustrated the distribution of county-level seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Next, spatial interpolation was used to predict the seroprevalence in counties without recorded data. Global and local clustering methods were used to identify the extent of clustering and the counties with high or low seroprevalence, respectively. Next, temporal, spatial, and space-time scan statistic was used to identify periods and counties with higher-than-expected seroprevalence. In the last step, to identify more distinct areas in counties with high seroprevalence, city-level analysis was conducted to identify temporal and space-time clusters. Among 1,715 samples tested by serological assays, 244 samples (14%) tested positive. Young cats had higher seropositivity than older cats, and the third quarter of the year had the highest odds of seropositivity. Three county-level space-time clusters with higher-than-expected seroprevalence were identified in the northeastern, central-east, and southwest regions of Illinois, occurring between June and October 2022. In the city-level analysis, 2 space-time clusters were identified in Chicago's downtown and the southwestern suburbs of Chicago between June and September 2022. Our results suggest that the high density of humans and cats in large cities such as Chicago, might play a role in the transmission and clustering of SARS-CoV-2. Our study provides an in-depth analysis of SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology in Illinois household cats, which will aid in COVID-19 control and prevention.

摘要

本研究旨在评估 2021 年 10 月至 2023 年 5 月期间伊利诺伊州 63 个县内家庭猫中 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的血清流行率和时空聚集情况。分析采用逐步方法进行。首先,在一个县水平血清流行率的专题地图上,我们说明了 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的县水平血清流行率的分布。接下来,空间插值被用于预测没有记录数据的县的血清流行率。全局和局部聚类方法分别用于识别聚类的程度和高或低血清流行率的县。接下来,时间、空间和时空扫描统计被用于识别具有较高预期血清流行率的时期和县。在最后一步中,为了在高血清流行率的县中识别更独特的区域,进行了市级分析以识别时间和时空聚类。在通过血清学检测的 1715 个样本中,有 244 个(14%)检测呈阳性。年轻的猫比年老的猫具有更高的血清阳性率,第三季度的血清阳性率最高。在伊利诺伊州的东北部、中东部和西南部地区,确定了三个具有高于预期血清流行率的县水平时空聚类,这些聚类发生在 2022 年 6 月至 10 月之间。在市级分析中,在 2022 年 6 月至 9 月期间,在芝加哥市中心和芝加哥西南部郊区确定了 2 个时空聚类。我们的结果表明,像芝加哥这样的大城市中人类和猫的高密度可能在 SARS-CoV-2 的传播和聚类中发挥作用。我们的研究提供了对伊利诺伊州家庭猫中 SARS-CoV-2 流行病学的深入分析,这将有助于 COVID-19 的控制和预防。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e434/11065222/7d214559ab38/pone.0299388.g001.jpg

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