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一个关于严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)在一艘短途客船上层甲板上传播的模型。

A model for SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission on the upper deck of a passenger ship bound for a short trip.

作者信息

Awal Zobair Ibn, Zani Md Rafsan, Albaruni Md Abu Sina Ibne, Rahman Tawhidur, Islam Md Shariful

机构信息

Department of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Apr 16;10(9):e29506. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e29506. eCollection 2024 May 15.

Abstract

Public transportation plays a critical role in meeting transportation demands, particularly in densely populated areas. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of public health measures, including the need to prevent the spread of the virus through public transport. The spreading of the virus on a passenger ship is studied using the Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) model and Monte Carlo simulation. A particular focus was the context of Bangladesh, a populous maritime nation in South Asia, where a significant proportion of the population utilizes passenger ships to meet transportation demands. In this regard, a turbulence model is used, which simulates the airflow pattern and determines the contamination zone. Parameters under investigation are voyage duration, number of passengers on board, social distance, the effect of surgical masks, and others. This study shows that the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection on public transport, such as passenger ships, is not necessarily directly proportional to voyage duration or the number of passengers onboard. This model has the potential to be applied in various other modes of transportation, including public buses and airplanes. Implementing this model may help to monitor and address potential health risks effectively in the public transport networks.

摘要

公共交通在满足交通需求方面发挥着关键作用,尤其是在人口密集地区。新冠疫情凸显了公共卫生措施的重要性,包括通过公共交通预防病毒传播的必要性。利用计算流体动力学(CFD)模型和蒙特卡洛模拟研究了病毒在客船上的传播情况。特别关注的是孟加拉国的情况,该国是南亚一个人口众多的海洋国家,很大一部分人口利用客船来满足交通需求。在这方面,使用了一个湍流模型,该模型模拟气流模式并确定污染区域。研究的参数包括航程持续时间、船上乘客数量、社交距离、外科口罩的效果等。这项研究表明,SARS-CoV-2在公共交通工具(如客船)上的传播率不一定与航程持续时间或船上乘客数量成正比。该模型有可能应用于包括公共汽车和飞机在内的各种其他交通方式。实施该模型可能有助于在公共交通网络中有效监测和应对潜在的健康风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3dd4/11064074/e838fec527af/gr1.jpg

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