Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, Academic Unit of Health Economics, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2024 May 10;19(5):e0302746. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302746. eCollection 2024.
Long-term health conditions can affect labour market outcomes. COVID-19 may have increased labour market inequalities, e.g. due to restricted opportunities for clinically vulnerable people. Evaluating COVID-19's impact could help target support.
To quantify the effect of several long-term conditions on UK labour market outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic and compare them to pre-pandemic outcomes.
The Understanding Society COVID-19 survey collected responses from around 20,000 UK residents in nine waves from April 2020-September 2021. Participants employed in January/February 2020 with a variety of long-term conditions were matched with people without the condition but with similar baseline characteristics. Models estimated probability of employment, hours worked and earnings. We compared these results with results from a two-year pre-pandemic period. We also modelled probability of furlough and home-working frequency during COVID-19.
Most conditions (asthma, arthritis, emotional/nervous/psychiatric problems, vascular/pulmonary/liver conditions, epilepsy) were associated with reduced employment probability and/or hours worked during COVID-19, but not pre-pandemic. Furlough was more likely for people with pulmonary conditions. People with arthritis and cancer were slower to return to in-person working. Few effects were seen for earnings.
COVID-19 had a disproportionate impact on people with long-term conditions' labour market outcomes.
长期健康状况会影响劳动力市场的结果。COVID-19 可能增加了劳动力市场的不平等,例如由于临床脆弱人群的机会受限。评估 COVID-19 的影响有助于确定支持的目标。
量化几种长期疾病对 COVID-19 大流行期间英国劳动力市场结果的影响,并将其与大流行前的结果进行比较。
“理解社会 COVID-19”调查从 2020 年 4 月至 2021 年 9 月共收集了来自英国约 20,000 名居民的九轮回复。在 2020 年 1 月/2 月受雇的患有各种长期疾病的参与者与没有这种疾病但具有相似基线特征的人相匹配。模型估计了就业、工作时间和收入的概率。我们将这些结果与为期两年的大流行前时期的结果进行了比较。我们还对 COVID-19 期间的休假和在家工作频率的概率进行了建模。
大多数疾病(哮喘、关节炎、情绪/神经/精神问题、血管/肺部/肝脏疾病、癫痫)与 COVID-19 期间就业概率和/或工作时间减少有关,但与大流行前无关。肺部疾病患者更有可能被休假。患有关节炎和癌症的人恢复现场工作的速度较慢。收入方面的影响较小。
COVID-19 对患有长期疾病的人的劳动力市场结果产生了不成比例的影响。