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基于机器学习的原发性胰腺印戒细胞癌患者化疗对预后影响的真实世界大样本研究。

Effect of chemotherapy on prognosis in patients with primary pancreatic signet ring cell carcinoma: A large real-world study based on machine learning.

机构信息

Departments of General Surgery, Mian Yang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Mianyang, Sichuan, P.R. China.

Department of Nephrology, The Second Clinical Medical Institution of North Sichuan Medical College (Nanchong Central Hospital) and Nanchong Key Laboratory of Basic Science & Clinical Research on Chronic Kidney Disease, Nanchong, Sichuan, P.R. China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 13;19(5):e0302685. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302685. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Primary pancreatic signet ring cell carcinoma (PSRCC), an extremely rare histologic variant of pancreatic cancer, has a poor prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of chemotherapy in PSRCC.

METHODS

Patients with PSRCC between 2000 and 2019 were identified using the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The main outcomes in this study were cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). The baseline characteristics of patients were compared using Pearson's Chi-square test. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to generate the survival curves. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), univariate and multivariate Cox regression models, and Random Survival Forest model were used to analyze the prognostic variables for OS and CSS. The variance inflation factors (VIFs) were used to analyze whether there was an overfitting problem.

RESULTS

A total of 588 patients were identified. Chemotherapy was an independent prognostic factor for OS and CSS, and significantly associated with OS (HR = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.27-0.40, P <0.001) and CSS (HR = 0.32, 95% CI = 0.26-0.39, P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Chemotherapy showed beneficial effects on OS and CSS in patients with PSRCC and should be recommended in clinical practice.

摘要

背景

原发性胰腺印戒细胞癌(PSRCC)是一种罕见的胰腺癌细胞组织学变异型,预后较差。本研究旨在探讨化疗对 PSRCC 的预后价值。

方法

利用 Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)数据库,鉴定了 2000 年至 2019 年间的 PSRCC 患者。本研究的主要结局为癌症特异性生存(CSS)和总生存(OS)。采用 Pearson's Chi-square 检验比较患者的基线特征。Kaplan-Meier 分析生成生存曲线。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)、单因素和多因素 Cox 回归模型以及随机生存森林模型,分析 OS 和 CSS 的预后变量。采用方差膨胀因子(VIFs)分析是否存在过拟合问题。

结果

共鉴定出 588 例患者。化疗是 OS 和 CSS 的独立预后因素,与 OS(HR=0.33,95%CI=0.27-0.40,P<0.001)和 CSS(HR=0.32,95%CI=0.26-0.39,P<0.001)显著相关。

结论

化疗对 PSRCC 患者的 OS 和 CSS 有获益作用,应在临床实践中推荐使用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3254/11090313/057e3fafccf6/pone.0302685.g001.jpg

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