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雨呀雨呀快停下,改日再来行不行:气候变化是否会加剧新冠病毒的传播?

Rain, rain, go away, come again another day: do climate variations enhance the spread of COVID-19?

机构信息

Faculty of Maritime Studies, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, 21030, Kuala Nerus, Terengganu, Malaysia.

Institute of Oceanography and Environment, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, 21030, Kuala Nerus, Terengganu, Malaysia.

出版信息

Global Health. 2024 May 14;20(1):43. doi: 10.1186/s12992-024-01044-w.

Abstract

The spread of infectious diseases was further promoted due to busy cities, increased travel, and climate change, which led to outbreaks, epidemics, and even pandemics. The world experienced the severity of the 125 nm virus called the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a pandemic declared by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2019. Many investigations revealed a strong correlation between humidity and temperature relative to the kinetics of the virus's spread into the hosts. This study aimed to solve the riddle of the correlation between environmental factors and COVID-19 by applying RepOrting standards for Systematic Evidence Syntheses (ROSES) with the designed research question. Five temperature and humidity-related themes were deduced via the review processes, namely 1) The link between solar activity and pandemic outbreaks, 2) Regional area, 3) Climate and weather, 4) Relationship between temperature and humidity, and 5) the Governmental disinfection actions and guidelines. A significant relationship between solar activities and pandemic outbreaks was reported throughout the review of past studies. The grand solar minima (1450-1830) and solar minima (1975-2020) coincided with the global pandemic. Meanwhile, the cooler, lower humidity, and low wind movement environment reported higher severity of cases. Moreover, COVID-19 confirmed cases and death cases were higher in countries located within the Northern Hemisphere. The Blackbox of COVID-19 was revealed through the work conducted in this paper that the virus thrives in cooler and low-humidity environments, with emphasis on potential treatments and government measures relative to temperature and humidity. HIGHLIGHTS: • The coronavirus disease 2019 (COIVD-19) is spreading faster in low temperatures and humid area. • Weather and climate serve as environmental drivers in propagating COVID-19. • Solar radiation influences the spreading of COVID-19. • The correlation between weather and population as the factor in spreading of COVID-19.

摘要

传染病的传播由于城市的繁忙、旅行的增加和气候变化而进一步得到促进,导致了疫情的爆发、流行甚至大流行。世界经历了 2019 年由世界卫生组织(WHO)宣布的冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)的严重程度,这是一种 125nm 的病毒。许多调查显示,湿度和温度与病毒向宿主传播的动力学之间存在很强的相关性。本研究旨在通过应用有设计的研究问题的报告系统评价证据综合(ROSES)标准来解决环境因素与 COVID-19 之间相关性的难题。通过审查过程推导出五个与温度和湿度相关的主题,即 1)太阳活动与大流行爆发的联系,2)区域面积,3)气候和天气,4)温度和湿度之间的关系,5)政府消毒措施和指南。通过对过去研究的回顾,报告了太阳活动与大流行爆发之间的显著关系。大太阳极小期(1450-1830 年)和太阳极小期(1975-2020 年)与全球大流行同时发生。与此同时,据报道,较冷、较低湿度和低风速的环境导致的病例严重程度更高。此外,位于北半球的国家 COVID-19 确诊病例和死亡病例更多。通过本文的研究揭示了 COVID-19 的黑盒子,即病毒在较冷和低湿度的环境中茁壮成长,重点是针对温度和湿度的潜在治疗方法和政府措施。 亮点: • COVID-19 在低温和高湿度地区传播得更快。 • 天气和气候是 COVID-19 传播的环境驱动因素。 • 太阳辐射影响 COVID-19 的传播。 • 天气和人口是 COVID-19 传播的因素之间的相关性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9571/11092248/c781a627e7df/12992_2024_1044_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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