Zulfiqar Abrar-Ahmad, Fresne Mathieu, Gillibert André
Département de médecine interne, CHRU Strasbourg, Hôpital Civil, Strasbourg, France.
Département de médecine générale, CHU Reims, Reims, France.
Geriatr Psychol Neuropsychiatr Vieil. 2024 Jun 1;0(0). doi: 10.1684/pnv.2024.1161.
Can the SEGA scale, implemented in the emergency department, effectively predict morbidity and mortality? A prospective study was conducted from January 30, 2018, to July 16, 2018, at the Emergency Department of Chaumont Hospital. Patients aged over 65 were included, while those under 65, in palliative care, or in a life-threatening emergency were excluded. The SEGAm score was calculated for each included patient, and their outcomes were assessed at the end of the emergency department visit and one year later. A total of 278 subjects were included. Vital status at one year was known for all subjects, with no loss to follow-up or censoring. At one year, 56 patients out of 278 (20.1%, 95% CI 15.6% to 25.3%) had died, with less than half of these deaths (n = 25) occurring after readmission to the emergency department or during the emergency visit. The average age was 82 ± 8.2 years, with 158 women and 120 men. Regarding living arrangements, 130 (46.8%) lived at home without caregivers, 100 (36%) lived at home with caregivers, and 48 (17.3%) lived in nursing homes. The average Charlson Comorbidity Index was 5.49 ± 1.99, with an average number of medications of 7.52. The primary methods of referral were as follows: C15 for 144 patients (51.8%), general practitioner for 59 patients (21.2%), spontaneous consultation for 58 patients (20.9%), and family referral for 8 patients (2.9%). The main reasons for admission were falls for 55 patients (19.8%), dyspnea for 33 patients (11.9%), and other reasons for 60 patients (21.6%). Post-emergency department disposition included hospitalization for 167 patients (60.1%) and discharge for 111 patients (39.9%), with no deaths occurring during this period. The SEGAm frailty score (grid A) had an average completion time of 8.18 min ± 3.64. A score of ≤ 8 was found for 85 patients (30.6%), a score between 9 and 11 for 51 patients (18.3%), and a score ≥ 12 for 142 patients (51.1%). In this geriatric population, the risk of death at 12 months was estimated at 31% (95% CI 23.5% to 39.3%) for subjects with a SEGA score exceeding 12, compared to approximately 10% for those with lower SEGA scores. The risk of death or readmission was 52.8% (95% CI 44.3% to 61.2%) for subjects with a SEGA score exceeding 12, compared to 20% to 30% for those with lower SEGA scores. The SEGA score provides valuable prognostic information that is not fully captured by the Charlson score or reason for hospitalization.
在急诊科实施的SEGA量表能否有效预测发病率和死亡率?2018年1月30日至2018年7月16日,在肖蒙医院急诊科进行了一项前瞻性研究。纳入65岁以上患者,排除65岁以下、处于姑息治疗或处于危及生命紧急情况的患者。为每位纳入患者计算SEGAm评分,并在急诊科就诊结束时和一年后评估其预后。共纳入278名受试者。所有受试者一年时的生命状态均已知,无失访或删失情况。一年时,278名患者中有56例(20.1%,95%可信区间15.6%至25.3%)死亡,其中不到一半的死亡病例(n = 25)发生在再次入院至急诊科或急诊就诊期间。平均年龄为82±8.2岁,女性158例,男性120例。关于生活安排,130例(46.8%)居家且无照料者,100例(36%)居家且有照料者,48例(17.3%)住在养老院。Charlson合并症指数平均为5.49±1.99,平均用药数量为7.52。主要转诊方式如下:C15转诊144例患者(51.8%),全科医生转诊59例患者(21.2%),自发就诊58例患者(20.9%),家庭转诊8例患者(2.9%)。主要入院原因包括跌倒55例患者(19.8%)、呼吸困难33例患者(11.9%)、其他原因60例患者(21.6%)。急诊后处置包括167例患者(60.1%)住院和111例患者(39.9%)出院,在此期间无死亡病例。SEGAm衰弱评分(网格A)的平均完成时间为8.18分钟±3.64分钟。85例患者(30.6%)评分为≤8分,51例患者(18.3%)评分为9至11分,142例患者(51.1%)评分为≥12分。在该老年人群中,SEGA评分超过12分的受试者12个月时的死亡风险估计为31%(95%可信区间23.5%至39.3%),而SEGA评分较低者约为10%。SEGA评分超过12分的受试者死亡或再次入院的风险为52.8%(95%可信区间44.3%至61.2%),而SEGA评分较低者为20%至30%。SEGA评分提供了有价值的预后信息,这是Charlson评分或住院原因未能完全涵盖的。