Kvasha Serhii, Andrei Paolo, Mancini Maria Cecilia, Vakulenko Vitalii
Academician of the National Academy of Agricultural Sciences of Ukraine, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, Ukraine.
Department of Economics and Management, University of Parma, Italy.
Int J Food Sci Nutr. 2024 Sep;75(6):622-636. doi: 10.1080/09637486.2024.2379825. Epub 2024 Jul 21.
The system-forming element of national security is food security, which guarantees effective management of the food system, ensuring the food needs of the appropriate quantity and quality of each country's citizen. Despite the significant potential of the agricultural sector, which forms the basis of food security, the need to analyse the state of food security in the current situation is due to military operations on the territory of Ukraine, which led to its negative global results. In this regard, the need to develop effective strategies and legal regulation is essential to ensure national and global food security, which in turn requires coordination of efforts of all countries and international organisations through international cooperation. The study aims to establish a pattern regarding the current state of food security by analysing the impact of availability, access, usefulness and stability of food supply on food security. Research methods: comparative analysis; taxonomic analysis; systematisation, generalisation. The survey found that Ukraine's position in the Global Food Security Index (FSI) among 113 countries in 2022 worsened by 13 points, where the worst indicators for domestic food security are sustainability and adaptability (43.5 points out of 100 and 94th place globally) and economic affordability of food (48.1 points out of 100 and 93rd place in the world). It was found that the actual consumption of vegetables, melons, potatoes, and oil in 2021 was slightly higher than the rational norm, indicating sufficient consumption of these products, while the actual consumption of products that are lower than the rational norm includes meat and meat products, milk and dairy products, fish and fish products, and fruits, berries, and grapes. It has been determined that since 2016, the number of kilocalories in the daily diet of the population of Ukraine has not reached the minimum norm of consumption of basic foodstuffs for the working population. It has been established that in 2020 and 2021, the value of the taxonomic indicator for assessing the level of food security (I) has been decreasing, i.e. the distance to the reference vector has been increasing, which indicates a decrease in the level of food security. The forecasting results suggest a downward trend in the food security index for the period 2022-2027, and there is an urgent need to take measures to eliminate this trend and improve the value of the index, which is extremely important for the security of the state, especially in times of war.
国家安全的系统构成要素是粮食安全,它保障粮食系统的有效管理,确保满足每个国家公民在数量和质量上适当的粮食需求。尽管作为粮食安全基础的农业部门具有巨大潜力,但鉴于乌克兰境内的军事行动导致了负面的全球影响,当前形势下仍有必要分析粮食安全状况。在这方面,制定有效的战略和法律规范对于确保国家和全球粮食安全至关重要,而这反过来又需要通过国际合作协调所有国家和国际组织的努力。该研究旨在通过分析粮食供应的可得性、可及性(获取)、有用性和稳定性对粮食安全的影响,来确定粮食安全现状的模式。研究方法:比较分析;分类分析;系统化、概括。调查发现,2022年乌克兰在113个国家的全球粮食安全指数(FSI)中的排名下降了13分,其中国内粮食安全最差的指标是可持续性和适应性(满分100分中得43.5分,全球排名第94位)以及粮食的经济可承受性(满分100分中得48.1分,世界排名第93位)。研究发现,2021年蔬菜、瓜类、土豆和油的实际消费量略高于合理标准,表明这些产品的消费充足,而低于合理标准的产品实际消费量包括肉类和肉制品、牛奶和奶制品、鱼类和鱼制品以及水果、浆果和葡萄。已确定自2016年以来,乌克兰人口日常饮食中的千卡数未达到劳动人口基本食品消费的最低标准。已确定在2020年和2021年,用于评估粮食安全水平的分类指标(I)的值一直在下降,即与参考向量的距离一直在增加,这表明粮食安全水平在下降。预测结果表明,2022 - 2027年期间粮食安全指数呈下降趋势,迫切需要采取措施消除这一趋势并提高指数值,这对国家安全极为重要,尤其是在战争时期。