Context-specific eQTLs reveal causal genes underlying shared genetic architecture of critically ill COVID-19 and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Most genetic variants identified through genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are suspected to be regulatory in nature, but only a small fraction colocalize with expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs, variants associated with expression of a gene). Therefore, it is hypothesized but largely untested that integration of disease GWAS with context-specific eQTLs will reveal the underlying genes driving disease associations. We used colocalization and transcriptomic analyses to identify shared genetic variants and likely causal genes associated with critically ill COVID-19 and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. We first identified five genome-wide significant variants associated with both diseases. Four of the variants did not demonstrate clear colocalization between GWAS and healthy lung eQTL signals. Instead, two of the four variants colocalized only in cell-type and disease-specific eQTL datasets. These analyses pointed to higher expression from the C allele of rs12585036, in monocytes and in lung tissue from primarily smokers, which increased risk of IPF and decreased risk of critically ill COVID-19. We also found lower expression (and higher methylation at a specific CpG) from the G allele of rs12610495, acting in fibroblasts and in IPF lungs, and increased risk of IPF and critically ill COVID-19. We further found differential expression of the identified causal genes in diseased lungs when compared to non-diseased lungs, specifically in epithelial and immune cell types. These findings highlight the power of integrating GWAS, context-specific eQTLs, and transcriptomics of diseased tissue to harness human genetic variation to identify causal genes and where they function during multiple diseases.