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尼日利亚南部瓜农适应气候变化相关灾害的策略的决定因素。

Determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change hazards in south‒south Nigeria.

机构信息

Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management Department, University of Port Harcourt, Choba, Nigeria.

Department of Agriculture and Animal Health, College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, University of South Africa (UNISA), Jonaeburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Jul 29;14(1):17395. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-61164-6.

Abstract

The constant changes experienced in agricultural activities due to climate change pose a great challenge to melon production. Hence, this research examined the determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to cope with climate change hazards in southern-southern Nigeria. The research ultimately depended on primary data collected by using a set of questionnaires and interviews. The data were obtained from 260 samples retrieved from melon farmers by using multistage sampling techniques. The data were analyzed using the multivariate probit (MVP) model and partial eta squared test. The results of the MVP model showed that age (- 0.009), marital status (0.200), access to information on climate change (0.567) and crop insurance (0.214) were significant at the 0.01 level, while household size (- 0.030) was significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of crop diversification. Educational level (0.012), extension contact (0.138) and access to credit (0.122) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.415) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of change in planting dates. Age (- 0.010) and access to information on climate change (0.381) were significant at the 0.01 level, while sex (- 0.139), marital status (0.158) and off-farm income (- 2.3E-7) were significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of mixed farming. Farming experience (0.005) is significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.529) and crop insurance (0.272) are significant at the 0.01 level and determine the adoption of drought-tolerant crop species. Access to information on climate change (0.536) is significant at the 0.01 level, indicating the adoption of improved crop species. Age (- 0.010), farm size (- 0.085) and crop insurance (0.206) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.353) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of off-farm job opportunities. The study recommends the availability and accessibility of credit, climate-smart agricultural practices, and the establishment of public‒private partnerships, among others.

摘要

由于气候变化,农业活动不断变化,这给甜瓜生产带来了巨大挑战。因此,本研究考察了尼日利亚南部南部甜瓜农民适应气候变化灾害的适应策略的决定因素。该研究最终依赖于通过一组问卷和访谈收集的原始数据。数据是通过多级抽样技术从 260 名甜瓜农民中获得的。数据使用多元概率(probit)模型和偏 eta 平方检验进行分析。MVP 模型的结果表明,年龄(-0.009)、婚姻状况(0.200)、获取气候变化信息(0.567)和作物保险(0.214)在 0.01 水平上显著,而家庭规模(-0.030)在 0.05 水平上显著,并决定了作物多样化的采用。教育水平(0.012)、推广接触(0.138)和获得信贷(0.122)在 0.05 水平上显著,而获取气候变化信息(0.415)在 0.01 水平上显著,决定了种植日期的改变。年龄(-0.010)和获取气候变化信息(0.381)在 0.01 水平上显著,而性别(-0.139)、婚姻状况(0.158)和非农收入(-2.3E-7)在 0.05 水平上显著,决定了混合农业的采用。农业经验(0.005)在 0.05 水平上显著,而获取气候变化信息(0.529)和作物保险(0.272)在 0.01 水平上显著,决定了耐旱作物品种的采用。获取气候变化信息(0.536)在 0.01 水平上显著,表明采用了改良的作物品种。年龄(-0.010)、农场规模(-0.085)和作物保险(0.206)在 0.05 水平上显著,而获取气候变化信息(0.353)在 0.01 水平上显著,决定了非农就业机会的采用。该研究建议提供和获取信贷、气候智能型农业做法以及建立公私伙伴关系等。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cada/11286854/335da009a695/41598_2024_61164_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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