Selbing A, Kjessler B
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1985;64(7):593-7. doi: 10.3109/00016348509156368.
The accuracy and precision of gestational dating, based on single measurements of the fetal biparietal diameter (BPD), was estimated in a consecutive series of 970 apparently normal, singleton pregnancies. The BPD sizes used varied between 11 and 60 mm, corresponding to 9-22 postconceptional weeks. The 'conceptual ages', used for reference, were estimated by means of ultrasonic measurements of the fetal crown--rump lengths (CRL). The association between the estimated conceptual age (dependent variable) and BPD size (independent variable) was found to be well represented (R2 = 0.972) by a second order polynomial: conceptual age = 44.7 + 1.069 X BPD + 0.01382 X BPD X BPD. To check the validity of the proposed equation, we used 23 fetuses conceived by artificial insemination with donor semen as controls. There was good agreement between the virtual conceptual ages of the control cases and their corresponding BPD-estimated conceptual ages (0.5 days mean difference, 3.6 days SD) when the suggested regression equation was used. The estimated precision of BPD-dating was minumum +/- 4.4 days (= +/- 2SD) at 9-10 completed postconceptional weeks. At 14 completed weeks the corresponding precision was found to be +/- 11 days (+/- 2SD). At the end of the studied BPD size interval, i.e. 56-60 mm BPD corresponding to 22 conceptual weeks, the precision was +/- 15 days. From an obstetrical point of view it seems obvious that the imprecision of gestational dating associated with BPD measurements greater than 35 mm should call for ultrasonic dating procedures to be performed earlier in pregnancy.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
在970例表面正常的单胎妊娠连续病例中,对基于胎儿双顶径(BPD)单次测量的孕周估算的准确性和精确性进行了评估。所使用的BPD大小在11至60毫米之间,对应于孕后9至22周。用于参考的“概念年龄”通过超声测量胎儿头臀长度(CRL)来估算。发现估算的概念年龄(因变量)与BPD大小(自变量)之间的关联可以用二阶多项式很好地表示(R2 = 0.972):概念年龄 = 44.7 + 1.069×BPD + 0.01382×BPD×BPD。为检验所提出方程的有效性,我们使用23例通过供体精液人工授精受孕的胎儿作为对照。当使用建议的回归方程时,对照病例的虚拟概念年龄与其相应的BPD估算概念年龄之间有良好的一致性(平均差异0.5天,标准差3.6天)。BPD孕周估算的精确性在孕后9至10周时最低为±4.4天(=±2SD)。在14周时,相应的精确性为±11天(±2SD)。在所研究的BPD大小区间末端,即BPD为56至60毫米对应22个概念周时,精确性为±15天。从产科角度来看,很明显与大于35毫米的BPD测量相关的孕周估算不精确性要求在孕期更早进行超声孕周测定。(摘要截短于250字)