School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong.
Health Res Policy Syst. 2024 Aug 5;22(1):90. doi: 10.1186/s12961-024-01155-1.
Despite high overall COVID-19 vaccine coverage, the continuously low elderly vaccination rate in mainland China remains a dangerous threat as the country shifts away from its zero-Covid policy. This retrospective study uses the Multiple Streams Framework to examine how macro-level factors may explain poor elderly vaccination outcomes.
We performed a thematic analysis of qualitative data obtained from 95 official press conferences from October 20, 2020, to February 27, 2023, vaccination-related policy documents, and media coverage, using both inductive and deductive coding approaches.
Our findings suggest that in the problem stream, elderly vaccination was not a "focusing event" during the initial vaccine rollout, resulting in delayed outreach to this population. Additionally, ideologically driven complacency and discrepancies in top-down implementation undermined elderly vaccination in the political stream. In the policy stream, precautious and ambiguous statements, inconsistent policy content, radical shifting media messages, and less age-friendly digital technologies also affected elderly vaccination.
The poor convergence of the three streams led the elderly to be the Achilles' heel of China's COVID-19 containment strategy. Future studies should focus on priority identification, adoption of enforcement measures, and timely and effective policy dissemination. The empirical lessons from China can inform and optimize elderly vaccination policy design and implementation in the post-pandemic era.
尽管 COVID-19 疫苗总体接种率较高,但随着中国逐步取消零新冠政策,大陆老年人疫苗接种率持续较低仍是一个危险的威胁。本回顾性研究使用多源流框架来研究宏观因素如何解释老年人疫苗接种效果不佳的原因。
我们对 2020 年 10 月 20 日至 2023 年 2 月 27 日期间的 95 次官方新闻发布会、疫苗接种相关政策文件和媒体报道中的定性数据进行了主题分析,采用归纳和演绎编码方法。
我们的研究结果表明,在问题源流中,老年人疫苗接种在最初疫苗推广期间不是“焦点事件”,导致对这一人群的宣传延迟。此外,意识形态驱动的自满情绪和自上而下执行的差异也破坏了老年人疫苗接种。在政策源流中,谨慎和模糊的声明、不一致的政策内容、激进的媒体信息转变以及不太适合老年人的数字技术也影响了老年人疫苗接种。
三源流的不良融合导致老年人成为中国 COVID-19 遏制策略的阿喀琉斯之踵。未来的研究应关注优先事项的确定、执行措施的采用以及及时有效的政策传播。中国的经验教训可以为后疫情时代的老年人疫苗接种政策设计和实施提供信息和优化。