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低剂量电离辐射暴露后的特定部位癌症死亡率:国际核工业工人研究(INWORKS)更新研究的结果

Site-specific cancer mortality after low-level exposure to ionizing radiation: findings from an update of the International Nuclear Workers Study (INWORKS).

作者信息

Richardson David B, Laurier Dominique, Leuraud Klervi, Gillies Michael, Haylock Richard, Kelly-Reif Kaitlin, Bertke Stephen, Daniels Robert D, Thierry-Chef Isabelle, Moissonnier Monika, Kesminiene Ausrele, Schubauer-Berigan Mary K

机构信息

Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Program in Public Health, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, United States.

Health Division, Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire, PSE-SANTE, F-92260, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2025 May 7;194(5):1285-1294. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwae256.

Abstract

A major update to the International Nuclear Workers Study was undertaken that allows us to report updated estimates of associations between radiation and site-specific solid cancer mortality. A cohort of 309 932 nuclear workers employed in France, the United Kingdom, and the United States were monitored for external radiation exposure. Associations of radiation with cancer mortality were quantified as the excess relative rate (ERR) per gray (Gy) using a maximum likelihood and a Markov chain Monte Carlo method (to stabilize estimates via a hierarchical regression). The analysis included 28 089 deaths due to solid cancer, the most common being lung, prostate, and colon cancer. Using maximum likelihood, positive estimates of ERR per Gy were obtained for stomach, colon, rectum, pancreas, peritoneum, larynx, lung, pleura/mesothelioma, bone and connective tissue, skin, prostate, testis, bladder, kidney, thyroid, and residual cancers. Negative estimates of ERR per Gy were found cancers of oral cavity and pharynx, esophagus, and ovary. A hierarchical model stabilized site-specific estimates of association, including for lung (ERR per Gy = 0.65; 95% credible interval [CrI], 0.24-1.07), prostate (ERR per Gy = 0.44; 95% CrI, -0.06 to 0.91), and colon cancer (ERR per Gy = 0.53; 95% CrI, -0.07 to 1.11). The results contribute evidence regarding associations between low-dose radiation and cancer.

摘要

对国际核工业工人研究进行了一次重大更新,使我们能够报告辐射与特定部位实体癌死亡率之间关联的最新估计值。对法国、英国和美国受雇的309932名核工业工人队列进行了外部辐射暴露监测。使用最大似然法和马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法(通过分层回归稳定估计值)将辐射与癌症死亡率的关联量化为每格雷(Gy)的超额相对率(ERR)。分析包括28089例因实体癌死亡的病例,最常见的是肺癌、前列腺癌和结肠癌。使用最大似然法,获得了胃、结肠、直肠、胰腺、腹膜、喉、肺、胸膜/间皮瘤、骨和结缔组织、皮肤、前列腺、睾丸、膀胱、肾、甲状腺和残余癌每Gy的ERR阳性估计值。发现口腔和咽、食管和卵巢癌每Gy的ERR为阴性估计值。分层模型稳定了特定部位的关联估计值,包括肺癌(每Gy的ERR = 0.65;95%可信区间[CrI],0.24 - 1.07)、前列腺癌(每Gy的ERR = 0.44;95% CrI, - 0.06至0.91)和结肠癌(每Gy的ERR = 0.53;95% CrI, - 0.07至1.11)。这些结果为低剂量辐射与癌症之间的关联提供了证据。

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