Gillies Michael, Richardson David B, Cardis Elisabeth, Daniels Robert D, O'Hagan Jacqueline A, Haylock Richard, Laurier Dominique, Leuraud Klervi, Moissonnier Monika, Schubauer-Berigan Mary K, Thierry-Chef Isabelle, Kesminiene Ausrele
a Public Health England Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards (PHE-CRCE), Chilton, United Kingdom.
b Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Radiat Res. 2017 Sep;188(3):276-290. doi: 10.1667/RR14608.1. Epub 2017 Jul 10.
Positive associations between external radiation dose and non-cancer mortality have been found in a number of published studies, primarily of populations exposed to high-dose, high-dose-rate ionizing radiation. The goal of this study was to determine whether external radiation dose was associated with non-cancer mortality in a large pooled cohort of nuclear workers exposed to low-dose radiation accumulated at low dose rates. The cohort comprised 308,297 workers from France, United Kingdom and United States. The average cumulative equivalent dose at a tissue depth of 10 mm [Hp(10)] was 25.2 mSv. In total, 22% of the cohort were deceased by the end of follow-up, with 46,029 deaths attributed to non-cancer outcomes, including 27,848 deaths attributed to circulatory diseases. Poisson regression was used to investigate the relationship between cumulative radiation dose and non-cancer mortality rates. A statistically significant association between radiation dose and all non-cancer causes of death was observed [excess relative risk per sievert (ERR/Sv) = 0.19; 90% CI: 0.07, 0.30]. This was largely driven by the association between radiation dose and mortality due to circulatory diseases (ERR/Sv = 0.22; 90% CI: 0.08, 0.37), with slightly smaller positive, but nonsignificant, point estimates for mortality due to nonmalignant respiratory disease (ERR/Sv = 0.13; 90% CI: -0.17, 0.47) and digestive disease (ERR/Sv = 0.11; 90% CI: -0.36, 0.69). The point estimate for the association between radiation dose and deaths due to external causes of death was nonsignificantly negative (ERR = -0.12; 90% CI: <-0.60, 0.45). Within circulatory disease subtypes, associations with dose were observed for mortality due to cerebrovascular disease (ERR/Sv = 0.50; 90% CI: 0.12, 0.94) and mortality due to ischemic heart disease (ERR/Sv = 0.18; 90% CI: 0.004, 0.36). The estimates of associations between radiation dose and non-cancer mortality are generally consistent with those observed in atomic bomb survivor studies. The findings of this study could be interpreted as providing further evidence that non-cancer disease risks may be increased by external radiation exposure, particularly for ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease. However, heterogeneity in the estimated ERR/Sv was observed, which warrants further investigation. Further follow-up of these cohorts, with the inclusion of internal exposure information and other potential confounders associated with lifestyle factors, may prove informative, as will further work on elucidating the biological mechanisms that might cause these non-cancer effects at low doses.
在一些已发表的研究中发现,外部辐射剂量与非癌症死亡率之间存在正相关,这些研究主要针对暴露于高剂量、高剂量率电离辐射的人群。本研究的目的是确定在一个大量合并的、暴露于低剂量率累积低剂量辐射的核工业工人队列中,外部辐射剂量是否与非癌症死亡率相关。该队列包括来自法国、英国和美国的308,297名工人。在组织深度10毫米处的平均累积当量剂量[Hp(10)]为25.2毫希沃特。到随访结束时,该队列中共有22%的人死亡,46,029例死亡归因于非癌症结局,其中27,848例死亡归因于循环系统疾病。采用泊松回归分析累积辐射剂量与非癌症死亡率之间的关系。观察到辐射剂量与所有非癌症死因之间存在统计学显著关联[每西弗特超额相对风险(ERR/Sv)=0.19;90%置信区间:0.07, 0.30]。这主要是由辐射剂量与循环系统疾病导致的死亡率之间的关联驱动的(ERR/Sv = 0.22;90%置信区间:0.08, 0.37),对于非恶性呼吸系统疾病导致的死亡率(ERR/Sv = 0.13;90%置信区间:-0.17, 0.47)和消化系统疾病导致的死亡率(ERR/Sv = 0.11;90%置信区间:-0.36, 0.69),点估计值为稍小的正值,但无统计学意义。辐射剂量与外部死因导致的死亡之间的关联点估计值为非显著负值(ERR = -0.12;90%置信区间:<-0.60, 0.45)。在循环系统疾病亚型中,观察到辐射剂量与脑血管疾病导致的死亡率(ERR/Sv = 0.50;90%置信区间:0.12, 0.94)以及缺血性心脏病导致的死亡率(ERR/Sv = 0.18;90%置信区间:0.004, 0.36)之间存在关联。辐射剂量与非癌症死亡率之间关联的估计值总体上与原子弹幸存者研究中观察到的结果一致。本研究结果可解释为进一步证明外部辐射暴露可能会增加非癌症疾病风险,尤其是缺血性心脏病和脑血管疾病。然而,观察到ERR/Sv估计值存在异质性,这值得进一步研究。对这些队列进行进一步随访,纳入内照射信息和与生活方式因素相关的其他潜在混杂因素,可能会提供有价值的信息,阐明可能导致这些低剂量非癌症效应的生物学机制的进一步研究也将如此。