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扩张型心肌病患儿尿酸水平升高与死亡率预测

Uric acid elevation in pediatric patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and prediction of mortality.

作者信息

Han Yong, Chen Cheng, Qin Suyuan, Liu Dongli, Pang Yusheng

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2024 Jul 23;11:1404755. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2024.1404755. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a primary cause of heart failure, highlighting the urgent need for effective prognostic markers.

METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective study involving 145 children diagnosed with DCM, with a median follow-up period of 4.0 months (interquartile range: 6.2-108.4 months). The relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) levels and all-cause mortality was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, multivariate Cox proportional hazard models, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models.

RESULTS

Of the 145 children with DCM (median age 5.7 years; 61.4% male), 45 (31%) died within 1 year, and 65 (44.8%) died during the maximum follow-up period. In adjusted multivariate Cox regression models, each log2 SUA increase was linked to a higher risk of 1-year mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 2.66; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.41-5.01] and overall mortality (HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.15-3.37). The highest SUA tertile showed a greater risk of mortality at 1 year (HR, 4.26; 95% CI: 1.5-12.06) and during the maximum follow-up (HR, 2.56; 95% CI: 1.06-6.16) compared with the lowest tertile. RCS models indicated an inverted L-shaped association between baseline SUA levels and overall mortality risk, with age-stratified analyses revealing a linear and U-shaped relationship in children ≤10 and >10 years, respectively. Further age-stratified analyses highlighted the modifying effect of age on this association.

CONCLUSION

Elevated SUA levels are a significant predictor of mortality in pediatric DCM, with a pronounced impact on children under 10 years of age. Therefore, SUA levels could serve as potential biomarkers for risk stratification in this population.

摘要

背景与目的

小儿扩张型心肌病(DCM)是心力衰竭的主要病因,凸显了对有效预后标志物的迫切需求。

方法

我们开展了一项单中心回顾性研究,纳入了145例诊断为DCM的儿童,中位随访期为4.0个月(四分位间距:6.2 - 108.4个月)。使用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线、多变量Cox比例风险模型和受限立方样条(RCS)模型评估血清尿酸(SUA)水平与全因死亡率之间的关系。

结果

在145例DCM儿童中(中位年龄5.7岁;61.4%为男性),45例(31%)在1年内死亡,65例(44.8%)在最长随访期内死亡。在调整后的多变量Cox回归模型中,SUA每增加一个log2与1年死亡率的较高风险相关[风险比(HR),2.66;95%置信区间(CI),1.41 - 5.01]以及总体死亡率(HR,1.97;95% CI,1.15 - 3.37)。与最低三分位数相比,最高SUA三分位数在1年时(HR,4.26;95% CI:1.5 - 12.06)和最长随访期内(HR,2.56;95% CI:1.06 - 6.16)显示出更高的死亡风险。RCS模型表明基线SUA水平与总体死亡风险之间呈倒L形关联,年龄分层分析显示在≤10岁和>10岁的儿童中分别呈线性和U形关系。进一步的年龄分层分析突出了年龄对这种关联的调节作用。

结论

SUA水平升高是小儿DCM死亡率的重要预测指标,对10岁以下儿童影响显著。因此,SUA水平可作为该人群风险分层的潜在生物标志物。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/699d/11301336/beec3b4a59b2/fcvm-11-1404755-g001.jpg

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