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基于突变理论的邮轮旅游供应链风险评估研究

Research on risk assessment of cruise tourism supply chain based on catastrophe theory.

作者信息

Gan Shengjun, Liu Qingliang

机构信息

School of Economics & Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 8;19(8):e0306927. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306927. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The past COVID-19 outbreak caused a huge impact on China's cruise industry. Now that China's cruise industry is about to recover, how to assess the risks faced by the cruise industry has become an important issue. On this basis, this paper constructs China's cruise tourism supply chain and supply chain risk assessment system based on the research contributions made by previous researchers, evaluates the risk indicators of China's cruise tourism supply chain based on the catastrophe theory, and derives the risk assessment results through the catastrophe progression method, which can be used as a reference for the safe operation of cruise lines in the future.

摘要

过去的新冠疫情爆发对中国邮轮行业造成了巨大冲击。如今中国邮轮行业即将复苏,如何评估邮轮行业面临的风险已成为一个重要问题。在此基础上,本文基于前人研究者的研究成果构建了中国邮轮旅游供应链及供应链风险评估体系,运用突变理论对中国邮轮旅游供应链风险指标进行评估,并通过突变级数法得出风险评估结果,可为未来邮轮航线的安全运营提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/aa8f/11309406/bb23118651bc/pone.0306927.g001.jpg

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