Zhang Lechuan, Wang Bin, Zhang Qian, Zhu Sulei, Ma Yan
College of Information, Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai 201400, China.
Sensors (Basel). 2024 Jul 31;24(15):4971. doi: 10.3390/s24154971.
With the rapid growth of population and vehicles, issues such as traffic congestion are becoming increasingly apparent. Parking guidance and information (PGI) systems are becoming more critical, with one of the most important tasks being the prediction of traffic flow in parking lots. Predicting parking traffic can effectively improve parking efficiency and alleviate traffic congestion, traffic accidents, and other problems. However, due to the complex characteristics of parking spatio-temporal data, high levels of noise, and the intricate influence of external factors, there are three challenges to predicting parking traffic in a city effectively: (1) how to better model the nonlinear, asymmetric, and complex spatial relationships among parking lots; (2) how to model the temporal autocorrelation of parking flow more accurately for each parking lot, whether periodic or aperiodic; and (3) how to model the correlation between external influences, such as holiday weekends, POIs (points of interest), and weather factors. In this context, this paper proposes a parking lot traffic prediction model based on the fusion of multifaceted spatio-temporal features (MFF-STGCN). The model consists of a feature embedding module, a spatio-temporal attention mechanism module, and a spatio-temporal convolution module. The feature embedding module embeds external features such as weekend holidays, geographic POIs, and weather features into the time series, the spatio-temporal attention mechanism module captures the dynamic spatio-temporal correlation of parking traffic, and the spatio-temporal convolution module captures the spatio-temporal features by using graph convolution and gated recursion units. Finally, the outputs of adjacent time series, daily series, and weekly series are weighted and fused to obtain the final prediction results, thus predicting the parking lot traffic flow more accurately and effectively. Results on real datasets demonstrate that the proposed model enhances prediction performance.
随着人口和车辆的快速增长,交通拥堵等问题日益凸显。停车引导与信息(PGI)系统变得愈发关键,其中最重要的任务之一是预测停车场的交通流量。预测停车交通能够有效提高停车效率,缓解交通拥堵、交通事故等问题。然而,由于停车时空数据具有复杂的特征、高水平的噪声以及外部因素的复杂影响,要在城市中有效预测停车交通存在三个挑战:(1)如何更好地对停车场之间的非线性、不对称和复杂空间关系进行建模;(2)如何更准确地对每个停车场停车流量的时间自相关性进行建模,无论是周期性的还是非周期性的;(3)如何对诸如节假日周末、兴趣点(POI)和天气因素等外部影响之间的相关性进行建模。在此背景下,本文提出了一种基于多方面时空特征融合的停车场交通预测模型(MFF - STGCN)。该模型由特征嵌入模块、时空注意力机制模块和时空卷积模块组成。特征嵌入模块将周末节假日、地理兴趣点和天气特征等外部特征嵌入到时间序列中,时空注意力机制模块捕捉停车交通的动态时空相关性,时空卷积模块通过使用图卷积和门控递归单元捕捉时空特征。最后,对相邻时间序列、日序列和周序列的输出进行加权融合,以获得最终预测结果,从而更准确有效地预测停车场交通流量。真实数据集上的结果表明,所提出的模型提高了预测性能。