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MELD 评分对血压正常的急性肺栓塞患者住院不良事件的预测价值。

The Predictive Value of the MELD Scores for In-Hospital Adverse Events in Normotensive Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism.

机构信息

Peking University Health Science Center, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.

Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2024 Jan-Dec;30:10760296241266607. doi: 10.1177/10760296241266607.

Abstract

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (INR) (MELD-XI) scores, which reflect dysfunction of liver and kidneys, have been reported to be related to the prognosis of patients with right-sided "backward" failure. However, the relationship between the MELD/MELD-XI score and the in-hospital adverse events in pulmonary embolism (PE) patients was unknown. Normotensive PE patients were retrospectively enrolled at China-Japan friendship hospital from January 2017 to February 2020. The primary outcome was defined as death and clinical deterioration during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic analysis was used to explore the association between the MELD and MELD-XI scores for in-hospital adverse events. We also compared the accuracy of the MELD, MELD-XI, and the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve and corresponding areas under the curve (AUC). A total of 222 PE patients were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis showed that the MELD score was independently associated with in-hospital adverse events (odds ratio = 1.115, 95% confidential interval = 1.022-1.217,  = .014). The MELD score has an AUC of 0.731 and was better than PESI (AUC of 0.629) in predicting in-hospital adverse events. Among PE patients with normal blood pressure on admission, the MELD score was associated with increased in-hospital adverse events.

摘要

终末期肝病模型(MELD)和不包括国际标准化比值(INR)的终末期肝病模型(MELD-XI)评分反映了肝肾功能障碍,据报道与右侧“逆行”衰竭患者的预后有关。然而,MELD/MELD-XI 评分与肺动脉栓塞(PE)患者住院期间不良事件之间的关系尚不清楚。本研究回顾性分析了 2017 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月在中国-日本友好医院就诊的血压正常的 PE 患者。主要结局定义为住院期间死亡和临床恶化。多变量逻辑分析用于探讨 MELD 和 MELD-XI 评分与住院期间不良事件的关系。我们还使用时间依赖性接受者操作特征曲线和相应的曲线下面积(AUC)比较了 MELD、MELD-XI 和肺动脉栓塞严重指数(PESI)评分的准确性。共分析了 222 例 PE 患者。Logistic 回归分析显示,MELD 评分与住院期间不良事件独立相关(比值比=1.115,95%置信区间=1.022-1.217,=0.014)。MELD 评分的 AUC 为 0.731,优于 PESI(AUC 为 0.629),可预测住院期间不良事件。在入院时血压正常的 PE 患者中,MELD 评分与住院期间不良事件增加相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8a7/11322942/9c9e4cdb4784/10.1177_10760296241266607-fig1.jpg

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