Ahmed Abdulaziz, Aram Khalid Y, Tutun Salih, Delen Dursun
Department of Health Services Administration, School of Health Professions, The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 35233, USA.
Department of Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Heersink School of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 35233, USA.
Health Care Manag Sci. 2024 Dec;27(4):485-502. doi: 10.1007/s10729-024-09684-5. Epub 2024 Aug 13.
The issue of left against medical advice (LAMA) patients is common in today's emergency departments (EDs). This issue represents a medico-legal risk and may result in potential readmission, mortality, or revenue loss. Thus, understanding the factors that cause patients to "leave against medical advice" is vital to mitigate and potentially eliminate these adverse outcomes. This paper proposes a framework for studying the factors that affect LAMA in EDs. The framework integrates machine learning, metaheuristic optimization, and model interpretation techniques. Metaheuristic optimization is used for hyperparameter optimization-one of the main challenges of machine learning model development. Adaptive tabu simulated annealing (ATSA) metaheuristic algorithm is utilized for optimizing the parameters of extreme gradient boosting (XGB). The optimized XGB models are used to predict the LAMA outcomes for patients under treatment in ED. The designed algorithms are trained and tested using four data groups which are created using feature selection. The model with the best predictive performance is then interpreted using the SHaply Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method. The results show that best model has an area under the curve (AUC) and sensitivity of 76% and 82%, respectively. The best model was explained using SHAP method.
在当今的急诊科,患者擅自离院(LAMA)的问题很常见。这个问题代表了一种医疗法律风险,可能导致潜在的再次入院、死亡或收入损失。因此,了解导致患者“擅自离院”的因素对于减轻并可能消除这些不良后果至关重要。本文提出了一个用于研究急诊科中影响擅自离院因素的框架。该框架整合了机器学习、元启发式优化和模型解释技术。元启发式优化用于超参数优化——这是机器学习模型开发的主要挑战之一。自适应禁忌模拟退火(ATSA)元启发式算法用于优化极端梯度提升(XGB)的参数。优化后的XGB模型用于预测急诊科正在接受治疗的患者的擅自离院结果。所设计的算法使用通过特征选择创建的四个数据组进行训练和测试。然后使用SHapley加法解释(SHAP)方法对具有最佳预测性能的模型进行解释。结果表明,最佳模型的曲线下面积(AUC)和灵敏度分别为76%和82%。使用SHAP方法对最佳模型进行了解释。