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评估季风洪水对家庭用水的影响。

Estimating effects of monsoon flooding on household water access.

作者信息

Broyles Lauren M T, Pakhtigian Emily L, Mejia Alfonso

机构信息

Population Research Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, 601 Oswald Tower, University Park, PA 16802, United States of America.

School of Public Policy, The Pennsylvania State University, 322 Pond Laboratory, University Park, PA 16802, United States of America.

出版信息

Environ Res Lett. 2024 Sep 1;19(9):094038. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6ce9. Epub 2024 Aug 16.

Abstract

The importance of climate in water resources management is well recognized, but less is known about how climate affects water access at the household level. Understanding this is crucial for identifying vulnerable households, reducing health and well-being risks, and finding equitable solutions. Using difference-in-differences regression analyses and relying on temporal variation in interview timing from multiple, cross-sectional surveys, we examine the effects of monsoon riverine flooding on household water access among 34 000 households in Bangladesh in 2011 and 2014. We compare water access, a combined measure of both water source and time for collection, among households living in flood-affected and non-flood-affected districts before and after monsoon flooding events. We find that households in monsoon flood-affected districts surveyed after the flooding had between 2.27 and 4.42 times higher odds of experiencing low water access. Separating geographically, we find that while households in coastal districts have lower water access than those in non-coastal districts, monsoon flood exposure is a stronger predictor of low water access in non-coastal districts. Non-coastal districts were particularly burdened in 2014, when households affected by monsoon flooding had 4.71 times higher odds of low water access. We also find that household wealth is a consistent predictor of household water access. Overall, our results show that monsoon flooding is associated with a higher prevalence of low water access; socioeconomically vulnerable households are especially burdened.

摘要

气候在水资源管理中的重要性已得到广泛认可,但对于气候如何影响家庭层面的用水情况,人们了解得较少。了解这一点对于识别脆弱家庭、降低健康和福祉风险以及找到公平的解决方案至关重要。我们使用差分回归分析,并依赖于多次横断面调查中访谈时间的时间变化,研究了2011年和2014年孟加拉国34000户家庭中季风河流洪水对家庭用水的影响。我们比较了季风洪水事件前后,受洪水影响地区和未受洪水影响地区家庭的用水情况,用水情况是水源和取水时间的综合衡量指标。我们发现,洪水后接受调查的受季风洪水影响地区的家庭,用水不足的几率高出2.27至4.42倍。从地理上看,我们发现沿海地区的家庭用水情况比非沿海地区的家庭差,但季风洪水暴露对非沿海地区用水不足的预测更强。2014年,非沿海地区负担尤其沉重,当时受季风洪水影响的家庭用水不足的几率高出4.71倍。我们还发现,家庭财富是家庭用水情况的一个持续预测因素。总体而言,我们的结果表明,季风洪水与用水不足的较高发生率有关;社会经济脆弱家庭负担尤其沉重。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c4e0/11327760/13b5aae4b6b2/erlad6ce9f1_hr.jpg

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