The Use of Narco SS Score in Predicting Adverse Events in Children Undergoing Major Elective Abdominal Surgery at The University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia.

BACKGROUND

The neurological, airway, respiratory, cardiovascular and other, with a subscore of surgical severity (NARCO-SS) is a scoring system which assesses the presence of systemic disease and the risk the operation poses to the patient. A number of patients that undergo major abdominal surgery suffer adverse events. The aim of the study was to determine the reliability of NARCO-SS in predicting peri-operative adverse events and to determine the risk factors for peri-operative adverse events in paediatric patients undergoing elective abdominal surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Prospective cohort study. Consecutively sampled patients from December 2019 to December 2020 were used. Patients scheduled for elective abdominal surgery were scored pre-operatively and end points were; when an adverse event occurred or up to day 30. Analysis of the reliability of the tool, bivariate and multivariate logistics regression was done.

RESULTS

One hundred and nineteen patients were enrolled and 49% of them had adverse events. Both bivariate and multivariate analyses showed no significant association between the NARCO-SS score and the occurrence of adverse events. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (area under the curve) of the NARCO-SS for adverse events was 0.518; there was a significant correlation between high scores and mortality. Longer duration of surgery and complex surgery were the risk factors for adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

The NARCO-SS score was found to be a poor predictor of adverse events with a fair inter-rater reliability as a scoring tool. Future research could evaluate a modification of neurological and airway categories.