Sun Yanming, Tang Shaoshuai, Dou Zixin, Wang Tao
School of Management, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, 510006, China.
Research Center for High-Quality Development of Modern Industry, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, 510006, China.
Heliyon. 2024 Jul 29;10(15):e35321. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35321. eCollection 2024 Aug 15.
To help the manufacturing industry achieve high-quality development, it is urgent to identify the factors that affect the development of regional manufacturing. Compared to previous regression models, this article attempts to discover the nonlinear effects of different factors on regional manufacturing industry development (RMID) and their future impact trends. Based on the theory of new structural economics, we used order parameter analysis to examine the impact of environmental pollution and technology on RMID. The results indicate that: (1) The half of the cities promote industrial growth, but there are still three other situations: development slow down (3/21), a slight downward trend (5/21), and recession (2/21). (2) The two-thirds of cities adopt green development to promote industrial growth, while the development of other cities slows down (3/21), and some cities have a slight downward trend (4/21). The conclusion is as follows: (1) Through comparison, it is found that the impact of environment and technology on the RMID remains roughly synchronous, but currently the environmental promotion effect is greater. (2) We have found four technological development paths and can extend three green development models, effectively promoting RMID's green technology development. These suggestions will lay the foundation for promoting RMID.
为助力制造业实现高质量发展，迫切需要找出影响区域制造业发展的因素。与以往的回归模型相比，本文试图探究不同因素对区域制造业发展（RMID）的非线性影响及其未来影响趋势。基于新结构经济学理论，我们运用序参量分析来考察环境污染和技术对RMID的影响。结果表明：（1）一半的城市推动产业增长，但仍存在其他三种情况：发展放缓（3/21）、略有下降趋势（5/21）和衰退（2/21）。（2）三分之二的城市采用绿色发展来促进产业增长，而其他城市的发展放缓（3/21），一些城市有轻微下降趋势（4/21）。结论如下：（1）通过比较发现，环境和技术对RMID的影响大致同步，但目前环境促进作用更大。（2）我们发现了四条技术发展路径，并能拓展三种绿色发展模式，有效推动RMID的绿色技术发展。这些建议将为促进RMID奠定基础。
