School of Logistics, Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China.
PLoS One. 2024 Aug 22;19(8):e0303639. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0303639. eCollection 2024.
Logistics resilience is a significant representation of sustainable development ability and a necessary support for high-quality economic development. In order to explore the influencing factors and realization mechanism of the improvement of logistics resilience of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the high-quality and sustainable development of the economy, this paper comprehensively considers factors of the supply and demand relationship of the logistics market, industrial structure and ecological environment, and evaluates the urban logistics resilience of the Yangtze River Economic Belt by using POI data and statistical data. Combined with the spatial Durbin model, the influencing factors and spatial spillover effects of inter-city logistics resilience were revealed. This study found that the urban logistics resilience in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River has been high. Except Chongqing and Shanghai, the COVID-19 epidemic happened in 2020 led to a significant decrease in logistics resilience. In the meanwhile, every 1% increase in the logistics resilience of the city will promote the logistics resilience of the adjacent cities by 0.145%. Economic condition and urban development potential have positive effects on logistics resilience of the city and its adjacent cities. The economic condition has a direct effect coefficient of 0.166 and an indirect effect coefficient of 0.181, The direct and indirect effects of urban development potential are significantly positive, and the coefficients are 0.001 and 0.006, respectively. The level of information, government support and ability of technological innovation are helpful for the improvement of urban logistics resilience while hindering the enhancement of logistics resilience in adjacent cities. The research area can be extended in the future and more influencing factors can be considered in the future.
物流弹性是可持续发展能力的重要体现，是经济高质量发展的必要支撑。为了探讨长江经济带物流弹性提升对经济高质量可持续发展的影响因素和实现机制，本文综合考虑物流市场供需关系、产业结构和生态环境等因素，利用 POI 数据和统计数据对长江经济带城市物流弹性进行评价。结合空间 Durbin 模型，揭示了城市间物流弹性的影响因素和空间溢出效应。研究发现，长江下游地区城市物流弹性一直较高。除重庆和上海外，2020 年新冠肺炎疫情导致物流弹性显著下降。同时，城市物流弹性每提高 1%，相邻城市的物流弹性将提高 0.145%。经济条件和城市发展潜力对城市及其相邻城市的物流弹性具有正向影响。经济条件的直接效应系数为 0.166，间接效应系数为 0.181；城市发展潜力的直接和间接效应均为显著正效应，系数分别为 0.001 和 0.006。信息化水平、政府支持力度和技术创新能力有助于提高城市物流弹性，但会阻碍相邻城市物流弹性的增强。未来可以进一步拓展研究区域，并考虑更多的影响因素。
