Mena Carlos, Karatzas Antonios, Hansen Carsten
Supply Chain Management, The School of Business, Portland State University, United States.
Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, UK.
J Bus Res. 2022 Jan;138:77-91. doi: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.08.064. Epub 2021 Sep 12.
The Covid-19 pandemic represents a low-probability, high-impact systemic risk that has severely disrupted international trade, reshaping the patterns of globalization. Drawing from the concept of supply chain resilience, which involves both the ability of a system to withstand an impact () and recover from it (), we investigate country-level trade resilience during the 1st wave of the pandemic. By employing Fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA), we identify configurations of country-level factors, i.e. country profiles, based on their effectiveness in engendering trade resilience. These factors include social and economic globalization, logistics performance, healthcare preparedness, national government response, and income level. The results show how these factors coalesced to strengthen (or weaken) international trade resilience, contributing to a holistic understanding of the impact of the pandemic on international trade. The findings inform the post-Covid-19 debate on international trade, with implications for managers and policymakers.
新冠疫情是一种低概率、高影响的系统性风险，严重扰乱了国际贸易，重塑了全球化格局。借鉴供应链弹性的概念，该概念既涉及系统承受冲击的能力（）又涉及从冲击中恢复的能力（），我们研究了疫情第一波期间国家层面的贸易弹性。通过运用模糊集定性比较分析（fsQCA），我们根据各国在产生贸易弹性方面的有效性，确定了国家层面因素的配置，即国家概况。这些因素包括社会和经济全球化、物流绩效、医疗准备情况、国家政府应对措施以及收入水平。结果显示了这些因素如何相互结合以增强（或削弱）国际贸易弹性，有助于全面理解疫情对国际贸易的影响。这些发现为新冠疫情后的国际贸易辩论提供了参考，对管理者和政策制定者具有启示意义。
