Lockie Stewart, Graham Victoria, Taylor Bruce, Baresi Umberto, Maclean Kirsten, Paxton Gillian, Vella Karen
The Cairns Institute, James Cook University, Cairns, Australia.
School of Sociology, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Risk Anal. 2025 Mar;45(3):668-681. doi: 10.1111/risa.17635. Epub 2024 Aug 23.
Realizing positive social and environmental outcomes from assisted ecosystem adaptation requires the management of complex, uncertain, and ambiguous risks. Using assisted coral reef adaptation as a case study, this article presents a conceptual framework that defines social impacts as the physical and cognitive consequences for people of planned intervention and social risks as potential impacts transformed into objects of management through assessment and governance. Reflecting on its multiple uses in the literature, we consider "social risk" in relation to risks to individuals and communities, risks to First Peoples, risks to businesses or project implementation, possibilities for amplified social vulnerability, and risk perceptions. Although much of this article is devoted to bringing clarity to the different ways in which social risk manifests and to the multiple characters of risk and uncertainty, it is apparent that risk governance itself must be an inherently integrative and social process.
要从辅助生态系统适应中实现积极的社会和环境成果，需要管理复杂、不确定和模糊的风险。本文以辅助珊瑚礁适应为例，提出了一个概念框架，将社会影响定义为计划干预对人们产生的身体和认知后果，将社会风险定义为通过评估和治理转化为管理对象的潜在影响。通过思考其在文献中的多种用途，我们从个人和社区面临的风险、原住民面临的风险、企业或项目实施面临的风险、社会脆弱性加剧的可能性以及风险认知等方面来考量“社会风险”。尽管本文大部分内容致力于阐明社会风险显现的不同方式以及风险和不确定性的多重特征，但很明显，风险治理本身必须是一个内在的综合社会过程。
