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未来自我连续性对跨期决策的影响:一个中介调节模型。

The effect of future self-continuity on intertemporal decision making: a mediated moderating model.

作者信息

Yang Ying, Zhang Liangxiangwan, Qu Weiguo, Fan Wei

机构信息

Department of Psychology, School of Education Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.

Cognition and Human Behavior Key Laboratory of Hunan Province, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2024 Aug 8;15:1437065. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1437065. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1437065
PMID:39176052
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11339553/
Abstract

Intertemporal decision making refers to the behavior of making decisions after weighing the costs and benefits of two or more outcomes at different time points. This study explores the moderating effect of self-concept clarity on the influence of future self-continuity on intertemporal decision-making and the mediating effect of future outcome consideration, aiming to establish a mediated moderating model. In Study 1, we recruited 370 participants via questionnaire to explore the relationship between future self-continuity and intertemporal decision-making, as well as the moderating effect of self-concept clarity. The results showed that: (1) Future self-continuity significantly negatively predicted the time discount rate of intertemporal decision-making. (2) Self-concept clarity significantly negatively moderated the relationship between future self-continuity and the time discount rate of intertemporal decision-making. In Study 2, we recruited 234 participants using an experimental method and divided them into high and low future self-continuity groups to explore the mediating effect of future outcome consideration and the moderating role of self-concept clarity in the influence of future self-continuity on intertemporal decision-making. The results indicated that: (1) Self-concept clarity significantly negatively moderated the impact of future self-continuity on future outcome consideration. (2) Future outcome consideration mediated the moderating effect of self-concept clarity on the influence of future self-continuity on intertemporal decision-making. The findings indicated that future self-continuity negatively impacted the time discount rate in intertemporal decision-making. Furthermore, self-concept clarity could indirectly regulate the effect of future self-continuity on intertemporal decision-making through future outcome consideration. These two studies contribute to a better understanding of intertemporal decision-making behavior in different states, help reduce cognitive bias through rational analysis of current states, achieve maximum life benefits, and enrich empirical research in the fields of future self-continuity and intertemporal decision-making.

摘要

跨期决策是指在权衡不同时间点上两个或多个结果的成本和收益后做出决策的行为。本研究探讨自我概念清晰度在未来自我连续性对跨期决策的影响中的调节作用以及未来结果考虑的中介作用,旨在建立一个有中介的调节模型。在研究1中,我们通过问卷调查招募了370名参与者,以探讨未来自我连续性与跨期决策之间的关系以及自我概念清晰度的调节作用。结果表明:(1)未来自我连续性显著负向预测跨期决策的时间折扣率。(2)自我概念清晰度显著负向调节未来自我连续性与跨期决策时间折扣率之间的关系。在研究2中,我们采用实验方法招募了234名参与者,并将他们分为高未来自我连续性组和低未来自我连续性组,以探讨未来结果考虑的中介作用以及自我概念清晰度在未来自我连续性对跨期决策的影响中的调节作用。结果表明:(1)自我概念清晰度显著负向调节未来自我连续性对未来结果考虑的影响。(2)未来结果考虑中介了自我概念清晰度对未来自我连续性对跨期决策影响的调节作用。研究结果表明,未来自我连续性对跨期决策中的时间折扣率有负面影响。此外,自我概念清晰度可以通过未来结果考虑间接调节未来自我连续性对跨期决策的影响。这两项研究有助于更好地理解不同状态下的跨期决策行为,通过对当前状态的理性分析帮助减少认知偏差,实现最大的生活效益,并丰富未来自我连续性和跨期决策领域的实证研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/014dabc25658/fpsyg-15-1437065-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/0b78716a6386/fpsyg-15-1437065-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/3b2c1194a9e4/fpsyg-15-1437065-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/8c49e1495aa0/fpsyg-15-1437065-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/50907b8d8025/fpsyg-15-1437065-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/aa426ea9ebce/fpsyg-15-1437065-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/014dabc25658/fpsyg-15-1437065-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/0b78716a6386/fpsyg-15-1437065-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/3b2c1194a9e4/fpsyg-15-1437065-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/8c49e1495aa0/fpsyg-15-1437065-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/50907b8d8025/fpsyg-15-1437065-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/aa426ea9ebce/fpsyg-15-1437065-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c42d/11339553/014dabc25658/fpsyg-15-1437065-g006.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
The effect of episodic foresight on intertemporal decision-making: the role of future self-continuity and perceived control.情景前瞻对跨期决策的影响:未来自我连续性和感知控制的作用。
Cogn Process. 2023 May;24(2):173-186. doi: 10.1007/s10339-023-01124-6. Epub 2023 Jan 28.
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Childhood Environmental Unpredictability and Prosocial Behavior in Adults: The Effect of Life-History Strategy and Dark Personalities.童年环境的不可预测性与成年人的亲社会行为:生命史策略和黑暗人格的影响。
Psychol Res Behav Manag. 2022 Jul 13;15:1757-1769. doi: 10.2147/PRBM.S373444. eCollection 2022.
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Low Self-Concept Clarity Inhibits Self-Control: The Mediating Effect of Global Self-Continuity.
低自我概念清晰度抑制自我控制:全球自我连续性的中介作用。
Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2023 Nov;49(11):1587-1600. doi: 10.1177/01461672221109664. Epub 2022 Jul 20.
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Self-concept clarity lays the foundation for self-continuity: The restorative function of autobiographical memory.自我概念清晰度为自我连续性奠定基础:自传体记忆的恢复功能。
J Pers Soc Psychol. 2020 Oct;119(4):945-959. doi: 10.1037/pspp0000259. Epub 2019 Jul 25.
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