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低收入和中等收入国家隔代家庭的兴起与突出。

The Rise and Prominence of Skip-Generation Households in Lower- and Middle-Income Countries.

作者信息

Zimmer Zachary, Treleaven Emily

机构信息

Global Aging and Community Initiative, Family Studies and Gerontology, Mount Saint Vincent University, 166 Bedford Highway, Halifax, Nova Scotia B3M 2J6, Canada, +1 (902) 457-5541.

Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, 426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI 48103, +1 (734) 764-7737.

出版信息

Popul Dev Rev. 2020 Dec;46(4):709-733. doi: 10.1111/padr.12349. Epub 2020 Jul 24.

Abstract

Investigations into changes in household formations across low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) rarely consider skip-generation households. Yet, demographic, social and economic forces increasingly encourage skip-generation household formations. We examine and of skip-generation households from 1990 to 2016, examining households, adults aged 60+, and children under 15, across 49 countries using household roster data from Demographic and Health Surveys. Analysis takes place in stages, first describing trends in skip-generation households across countries and next providing explanatory analyses using multilevel modeling to assess whether, and the degree to which, country-level characteristics like AIDS mortality and female labor force participation explain trends in the probability that a household is, or that an individual resides in, a skip-generation household. Results indicate extensive increases in skip-generation households in many LMICs, although there is also variation. The increases and variations are not well-explained by the country-level characteristics in our models, suggesting other underlying reasons for the rise and prominence of skip-generation households across LMICs.

摘要

对低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)家庭构成变化的调查很少考虑隔代家庭。然而,人口、社会和经济力量越来越多地促使隔代家庭的形成。我们利用人口与健康调查的家庭名册数据,对1990年至2016年期间49个国家的隔代家庭进行了调查,研究对象包括家庭、60岁及以上的成年人以及15岁以下的儿童。分析分阶段进行,首先描述各国隔代家庭的趋势,然后使用多层次模型进行解释性分析,以评估艾滋病死亡率和女性劳动力参与率等国家层面的特征是否以及在多大程度上解释了一个家庭是隔代家庭或个人居住在隔代家庭中的概率趋势。结果表明,许多低收入和中等收入国家的隔代家庭大幅增加,尽管也存在差异。我们模型中的国家层面特征并不能很好地解释这些增加和差异,这表明低收入和中等收入国家隔代家庭增加和突出还有其他潜在原因。

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