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使用遗传算法优化城市人口接触网络拓扑参数

Optimizing Contact Network Topological Parameters of Urban Populations Using the Genetic Algorithm.

作者信息

Sergio Abimael R, Schimit Pedro H T

机构信息

Informatics and Knowledge Management Graduate Program, Universidade Nove de Julho, Rua Vergueiro, 235/249, São Paulo 01525-000, Brazil.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2024 Aug 3;26(8):661. doi: 10.3390/e26080661.

DOI:10.3390/e26080661
PMID:39202131
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11353388/
Abstract

This paper explores the application of complex network models and genetic algorithms in epidemiological modeling. By considering the small-world and Barabási-Albert network models, we aim to replicate the dynamics of disease spread in urban environments. This study emphasizes the importance of accurately mapping individual contacts and social networks to forecast disease progression. Using a genetic algorithm, we estimate the input parameters for network construction, thereby simulating disease transmission within these networks. Our results demonstrate the networks' resemblance to real social interactions, highlighting their potential in predicting disease spread. This study underscores the significance of complex network models and genetic algorithms in understanding and managing public health crises.

摘要

本文探讨了复杂网络模型和遗传算法在流行病学建模中的应用。通过考虑小世界网络模型和巴拉巴西-阿尔伯特网络模型,我们旨在复制城市环境中疾病传播的动态过程。本研究强调了准确描绘个体接触和社会网络以预测疾病进展的重要性。使用遗传算法,我们估计网络构建的输入参数,从而模拟这些网络内的疾病传播。我们的结果表明这些网络与真实社会互动相似,突出了它们在预测疾病传播方面的潜力。本研究强调了复杂网络模型和遗传算法在理解和管理公共卫生危机中的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/7ea5b54b216b/entropy-26-00661-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/1c63d75b94b4/entropy-26-00661-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/150fb96990c3/entropy-26-00661-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/7ea5b54b216b/entropy-26-00661-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/1c63d75b94b4/entropy-26-00661-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/150fb96990c3/entropy-26-00661-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/063d/11353388/7ea5b54b216b/entropy-26-00661-g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
The limits of human mobility traces to predict the spread of COVID-19: A transfer entropy approach.利用人类流动轨迹极限预测新冠病毒传播:一种转移熵方法
PNAS Nexus. 2023 Sep 14;2(10):pgad302. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad302. eCollection 2023 Oct.
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Inference on a Multi-Patch Epidemic Model with Partial Mobility, Residency, and Demography: Case of the 2020 COVID-19 Outbreak in Hermosillo, Mexico.关于具有部分流动性、居住情况和人口统计学特征的多区域流行模型的推断:以2020年墨西哥埃莫西约的COVID-19疫情为例
Entropy (Basel). 2023 Jun 22;25(7):968. doi: 10.3390/e25070968.
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The use of networks in spatial and temporal computational models for outbreak spread in epidemiology: A systematic review.
网络在流行病学中疾病爆发传播的时空计算模型中的应用:一项系统综述。
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Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic using a compartmental model with time-varying parameters fitted by a genetic algorithm.使用遗传算法拟合的具有时变参数的分区模型对新冠疫情进行分析。
Expert Syst Appl. 2023 Aug 15;224:120034. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120034. Epub 2023 Apr 5.
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Network spreading among areas: A dynamical complex network modeling approach.网络在区域间的传播:一种动态复杂网络建模方法。
Chaos. 2022 Oct;32(10):103102. doi: 10.1063/5.0102390.
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A University-Led Contact Tracing Program Response to a COVID-19 Outbreak Among Students in Georgia, February-March 2021.佐治亚州大学主导的接触者追踪项目应对 2021 年 2 月至 3 月期间学生中 COVID-19 疫情爆发的情况。
Public Health Rep. 2022 Nov-Dec;137(2_suppl):61S-66S. doi: 10.1177/00333549221113866. Epub 2022 Aug 20.
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Application of genetic algorithm combined with improved SEIR model in predicting the epidemic trend of COVID-19, China.遗传算法与改进的 SEIR 模型在中国预测 COVID-19 疫情趋势中的应用。
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Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Feb 11;19(4):2039. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19042039.
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On the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemiological parameters using only the series of deceased. A study of the Spanish outbreak using Genetic Algorithms.仅利用死亡病例序列研究新冠病毒病流行病学参数的演变。一项使用遗传算法对西班牙疫情的研究。
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