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2017 年,肯尼亚内罗毕市郡爆发的霍乱疫情持续时间长,原因是发生了大规模聚集活动。

A protracted cholera outbreak in Nairobi City County accentuated by mass gathering events, Kenya, 2017.

机构信息

Washington State University Global Health Program, Nairobi City, Kenya.

Division of Disease Surveillance and Response, Ministry of Health, Nairobi City, Kenya.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 29;19(8):e0297324. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297324. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Cholera continues to cause many outbreaks in low and middle-income countries due to inadequate water, sanitation, and hygiene services. We describe a protracted cholera outbreak in Nairobi City County, Kenya in 2017. We reviewed the cholera outbreak line lists from Nairobi City County in 2017 to determine its extent and factors associated with death. A suspected case of cholera was any person aged >2 years old who had acute watery diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting, whereas a confirmed case was where Vibrio cholerae was isolated from the stool specimen. We summarized cases using means for continuous variables and proportions for categorical variables. Associations between admission status, sex, age, residence, time to care seeking, and outbreak settings; and cholera associated deaths were assessed using odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Of the 2,737 cholera cases reported, we analyzed 2,347 (85.7%) cases including 1,364 (58.1%) outpatients, 1,724 (73.5%) not associated with mass gathering events, 1,356 (57.8%) male and 2,202 (93.8%) aged ≥5 years, and 35 deaths (case fatality rate: 1.5%). Cases were reported from all the Sub Counties of Nairobi City County with an overall county attack rate of 50 per 100,000 people. Vibrio cholerae Ogawa serotype was isolated from 78 (34.8%) of the 224 specimens tested and all isolates were sensitive to tetracycline and levofloxacin but resistant to amikacin. The odds of cholera-related deaths was lower among outpatient cases (aOR: 0.35; [95% CI: 0.17-0.72]), age ≥5 years old (aOR: 0.21 [95% CI: 0.09-0.55]), and mass gathering events (aOR: 0.26 [95% CI: 0.07-0.91]) while threefold higher odds among male (aOR: 3.04 [95% CI: 1.30-7.13]). Nairobi City County experienced a protracted and widespread cholera outbreak with a high case fatality rate in 2017.

摘要

由于水、环境卫生和个人卫生服务不足,霍乱继续在中低收入国家引发许多疫情。我们描述了 2017 年肯尼亚内罗毕市郡的一次长期霍乱疫情。我们查阅了 2017 年内罗毕市郡的霍乱疫情列表,以确定其范围以及与死亡相关的因素。疑似霍乱病例是指任何年龄大于 2 岁的人,具有急性水样腹泻、恶心或呕吐症状,而确诊病例则是从粪便样本中分离出霍乱弧菌。我们使用连续变量的平均值和分类变量的比例来总结病例。使用优势比(OR)和 95%置信区间(CI)评估入院状态、性别、年龄、居住地、寻求治疗的时间以及暴发环境与霍乱相关死亡之间的关联。在报告的 2737 例霍乱病例中,我们分析了 2347 例(85.7%)病例,包括 1364 例(58.1%)门诊病例、1724 例(73.5%)与群众集会活动无关的病例、1356 例(57.8%)男性和 2202 例(93.8%)年龄≥5 岁,35 例死亡(病死率:1.5%)。疫情报告来自内罗毕市郡的所有分区,全县总发病率为每 10 万人 50 例。从 224 个检测样本中分离出 78 株霍乱弧菌 Ogawa 血清型,所有分离株均对四环素和左氧氟沙星敏感,但对阿米卡星耐药。门诊病例霍乱相关死亡的几率较低(aOR:0.35;[95%CI:0.17-0.72]),年龄≥5 岁(aOR:0.21;[95%CI:0.09-0.55])和群众集会活动(aOR:0.26;[95%CI:0.07-0.91]),而男性的几率则高出三倍(aOR:3.04;[95%CI:1.30-7.13])。2017 年内罗毕市郡经历了一次长期且广泛的霍乱疫情爆发,病死率较高。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/668c/11361576/6bb1c99592f7/pone.0297324.g001.jpg

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