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分析重新分配政策对 mRNA 疫苗库存管理的经济影响。

Analyzing economic effect on mRNA vaccine inventory management with redistribution policy.

机构信息

School of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 3;14(1):20425. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-71322-5.

Abstract

This study focused on the challenges posed by the fluctuating demand for COVID-19 vaccines, considering factors such as side effects, religious objections, and absenteeism, which result in the accumulation of excess vaccines. Recognizing the resulting social, economic, and environmental issues, this study investigated the application of a lateral transshipment policy for the management of the inventory of short-term vaccines, considering related unpredictabilities. A discrete event simulation built on foundational principles derived from a mixed-integer linear programming model was employed to explore the dynamics of mRNA-based vaccine distribution among two hospitals based on lateral transshipment and reordering policies. Through the simulation of various scenarios over periods of 1-30 days, transshipment based on the availability policy is employed to determine the quantity of vaccines to be transshipped, constrained to vial amounts, and the (s, S) inventory system for reordering. The results of this study underscore the efficacy of lateral transshipment, particularly in situations where demand discrepancies exist between hospitals, thereby revealing its superiority over non-transshipment strategies within 7 days.

摘要

这项研究侧重于考虑副作用、宗教反对和缺勤等因素导致的 COVID-19 疫苗需求波动所带来的挑战,这些因素导致了过量疫苗的积累。认识到由此产生的社会、经济和环境问题,本研究调查了短期疫苗库存管理中应用横向转运政策的情况,考虑了相关的不可预测性。基于混合整数线性规划模型推导的基本原理构建了离散事件模拟,以探索基于横向转运和重新订购策略的两家医院之间 mRNA 疫苗分配的动态。通过对 1-30 天内各种场景的模拟,根据可获得性策略进行转运,以确定要转运的疫苗数量,受小瓶数量限制,并采用 (s, S) 库存系统进行重新订购。这项研究的结果强调了横向转运的效果,特别是在医院之间存在需求差异的情况下,这表明它在 7 天内优于非转运策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cc9b/11371817/ca1d61db037a/41598_2024_71322_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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