Sharaftmandrad Mohsen, Abedi Sarvestani Ahmad, Shahraki Mohammadreza, Hassanzadeh Nafooti Mohammad
Department of Ecological Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Jiroft, 8th Km of Jiroft - Bandar Abbas Road, Jiroft, Iran.
Agricultural Extension and Education Department, Faculty of Agricultural Management,, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran.
Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 4;14(1):20602. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-70818-4.
Climate change has caused pastoralists to face serious challenges all around the world. To reduce climate change vulnerability, adaptation strategies need to be adopted by pastoralists. In this regard, the present research was done to seek the reasons for the failure of the northeastern pastoralists of Iran in adopting climate change adaptation strategies. The study is descriptive, which conducted by a field survey. The target population included 249 pastoralists from 7 pastoral units, of whom 148 people were selected as sample size using the stratified random sampling technique. The survey instrument was a researcher-made questionnaire. The content validity and face validity of the questionnaire were checked by the experts. Convergent validity was also confirmed based on the average variance extracted (AVE). Cronbach's α coefficient and composite reliability (CR) were used to evaluate the internal consistency of the questionnaire. The results showed that social and, regulatory and insurance components were the most critical internal and external weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies, respectively. Structural equation modeling showed that external weaknesses had positive and significant effects on internal weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies.
气候变化已致使世界各地的牧民面临严峻挑战。为降低气候变化脆弱性，牧民需要采取适应策略。在此方面，本研究旨在探寻伊朗东北部牧民未能采取气候变化适应策略的原因。该研究为描述性研究，通过实地调查开展。目标人群包括来自7个牧区单位的249名牧民，其中148人采用分层随机抽样技术被选为样本量。调查工具为研究者自制的问卷。问卷的内容效度和表面效度由专家进行了检验。基于提取的平均方差（AVE）也证实了收敛效度。使用克朗巴哈α系数和组合信度（CR）来评估问卷的内部一致性。结果表明，社会因素以及监管和保险因素分别是牧民未能采取气候变化适应策略最关键的内部和外部薄弱环节。结构方程模型表明，外部薄弱环节对牧民未能采取气候变化适应策略的内部薄弱环节具有正向且显著的影响。
