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基于改进潜力模型评估养老机构的空间公平性:以上海市为例。

Assessing the spatial equity of the aged care institutions based on the improved potential model: a case study in Shanghai, China.

机构信息

Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China.

School of Intelligent Emergency Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Aug 29;12:1428424. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1428424. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

With the spread of an aging society, the demand for aged care institutions among older adults is increasing. The inadequate supply and distribution of aged care institutions have led to an increasing concern about spatial equity in aged care institutions. Most studies have utilized accessibility to assess spatial equity from the supply perspective, while the demand perspective has received little attention. In addition, few studies have evaluated the spatial equity of aged care institutions at grid resolution. Therefore, this study takes Shanghai as an example to analyze aged care institutions from both the supply and demand perspectives. By proposing an improved potential model, at a network resolution of 500 × 500, the spatial equity of aged care institutions is more refined. The results show that aged care institutions and the older population in Shanghai are predominantly concentrated in the downtown area and surrounding regions. However, the results obtained from the Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient indicate the allocation of pension beds based on population size is proportional across different districts of Shanghai. When considering the quality indicators of aged care institutions and introducing the improved potential energy model to calculate spatial accessibility, an imbalance between regions in Shanghai still exists and needs further optimization.

摘要

随着老龄化社会的蔓延,老年人对养老院的需求不断增加。养老院的供应和分布不足,导致人们越来越关注养老院的空间公平性。大多数研究都利用可达性从供应角度评估空间公平性,而对需求角度关注较少。此外,很少有研究以网格分辨率评估养老院的空间公平性。因此,本研究以上海为例,从供应和需求两个角度分析养老院。通过提出一种改进的势能模型,在网络分辨率为 500×500 的情况下,养老院的空间公平性更加精细。结果表明,上海的养老院和老年人口主要集中在市中心及周边地区。然而,洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数的结果表明,根据人口规模分配养老金床位在上海不同地区是成比例的。当考虑养老院的质量指标并引入改进的势能模型来计算空间可达性时,上海各地区之间仍然存在不平衡,需要进一步优化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/df11/11390641/234f08778f47/fpubh-12-1428424-g0009.jpg

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