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能源消耗与经济增长的相互关联性:格兰杰因果关系分析。

The interconnectedness of energy consumption with economic growth: A granger causality analysis.

作者信息

Perera Nishitha, Dissanayake Hasara, Samson Diruni, Abeykoon Sajani, Jayathilaka Ruwan, Jayasinghe Maneka, Yapa Shanta

机构信息

Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, SLIIT Business School, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka.

Charles Darwin University, Waterfront Campus, Darwin, Australia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Aug 28;10(17):e36709. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36709. eCollection 2024 Sep 15.

Abstract

In considering today's energy challenges, the link between the usage of renewable and non-renewable energy sources and economic growth has gained substantial policy attention. This research examines the complex relationship between these three variables to understand how non-renewable energy consumption and renewable energy consumption interact and what that means for economic growth. This study uses the Granger causality approach to explore the relationships between non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption, and economic development. It draws on a comprehensive dataset from the Word Bank database, including 152 nations from 1990 to 2019. The analysis is further disaggregated by four subgroups of countries; least developed, developed, transitional economies and developing countries. The result of this study provides valuable empirical evidence of uni-directional causality running from renewable energy consumption to economic growth and non-renewable energy consumption to economic growth in transitional economies. Furthermore, policymakers should focus on both variables when making decisions because the results show that energy consumption and economic growth are interconnected. Implementing global energy efficiency standards, reducing fossil fuel usage, and adopting regulatory measures are all viable policies for limiting adverse effects on the environment while encouraging economic development.

摘要

在考虑当今的能源挑战时,可再生能源与不可再生能源的使用和经济增长之间的联系已受到政策的高度关注。本研究考察这三个变量之间的复杂关系,以了解不可再生能源消费与可再生能源消费如何相互作用,以及这对经济增长意味着什么。本研究采用格兰杰因果关系方法来探究不可再生能源消费、可再生能源消费与经济发展之间的关系。它利用了世界银行数据库中的一个综合数据集,涵盖了1990年至2019年的152个国家。分析进一步按四个国家子类别进行细分:最不发达国家、发达国家、转型经济体和发展中国家。本研究结果提供了宝贵的实证证据,表明在转型经济体中存在从可再生能源消费到经济增长以及从不可再生能源消费到经济增长的单向因果关系。此外,政策制定者在做决策时应关注这两个变量,因为结果表明能源消费与经济增长相互关联。实施全球能源效率标准、减少化石燃料使用以及采取监管措施都是在限制对环境的不利影响同时鼓励经济发展的可行政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ded4/11402754/286ccbda7fb5/gr1.jpg

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