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如何设计补贴政策以更好地鼓励出行者使用汽车共享而非私家车?一项演化博弈研究。

How to design subsidy policies to better encourage travelers to use car-sharing instead of private cars? An evolutionary game study.

机构信息

School of Business, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, Shandong, China.

School of Economics, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Sep 19;19(9):e0308622. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308622. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Car-sharing is a travel mode that can serve as an alternative to private cars, helping to reduce urban pollution. However, currently, there is a low willingness among travelers to use car-sharing, which is reflected in both low market penetration and user frequency. Therefore, it is essential for the government to encourage the use of car-sharing by providing subsidies. To better encourage the usage of car-sharing, this paper applies a two-fold evolutionary game model involving travelers and the government to explore the impact of subsidies on travelers' choices, and the factors that could affect the subsidies' efficiency. A simulation, using data from Beijing, was conducted to determine the implications of subsidy policies. The results show that a mileage-based subsidy and a fixed subsidy are applicable to travel of high and low mileages respectively, and under both subsidy modes, subsidies for trips with short duration or short pick-up and return time are more effective. Furthermore, we find that the efficiency of subsidies increases as the scale of car-sharing users, demand elasticity, or total number of travelers increases. Additionally, the subsidy levels should be lower than the environmental benefits of car-sharing but higher than the difference in travel costs between private cars and car-sharing. Future work will involve other game players such as car-sharing operators in order to draw deeper conclusions, and will involve the collection of data from more countries and cities to develop the robustness of the conclusions.

摘要

汽车共享是一种替代私家车的出行方式,可以帮助减少城市污染。然而,目前旅行者使用汽车共享的意愿较低,这反映在市场渗透率和用户频率都较低。因此,政府有必要通过提供补贴来鼓励汽车共享的使用。为了更好地鼓励汽车共享的使用,本文应用了一个涉及旅行者和政府的双重演化博弈模型,以探讨补贴对旅行者选择的影响,以及影响补贴效率的因素。利用北京的数据进行了模拟,以确定补贴政策的影响。结果表明,按里程补贴和固定补贴分别适用于高里程和低里程的出行,并且在这两种补贴模式下,对短时长或短接送时间的出行进行补贴更有效。此外,我们发现随着汽车共享用户规模、需求弹性或总旅行者数量的增加,补贴效率会提高。此外,补贴水平应低于汽车共享的环境效益,但高于私家车和汽车共享之间的旅行成本差异。未来的工作将涉及其他博弈参与者,以得出更深入的结论,并将涉及从更多国家和城市收集数据,以增强结论的稳健性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d746/11412671/d528ebc83fdf/pone.0308622.g001.jpg

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