Big Data and Artificial Intelligence Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
BMJ Open. 2024 Sep 18;14(9):e082717. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082717.
This study aims to calculate the national prevalence of smoking among Chinese adults and to describe the hazard of smoking initiation by age during their adolescence, as well as the disparities in sex, residence and age groups.
A cross-sectional study.
The data were derived from a multistage sampling study conducted in 120 cities in China Mainland.
A total of 9963 participants aged ≥19 years were included.
Survival analysis was used to quantify the hazards of smoking initiation by a single year of age during adolescence, and the log-rank test was used to compare the hazard curves across subgroups.
The prevalence of current smoking among males and females was 27.7% and 2.0%, respectively, and 56.2% of current smokers began smoking at or before the age of 18. The hazard of smoking initiation during adolescence for females was less than 0.5%, and the hazard for males increased gradually before 14 years of age and increased sharply at age 15 (4.34%), then peaked at age 18 (6.24%). Males in rural experienced a higher hazard of smoking initiation than those in urban (χ=5.35, p=0.02) and no such difference was found in females. By the age of 18 years, 11.7% of participants (1.8% for females and 23.4% for males) had ever smoked.
The prevalence of smoking among Chinese adults was lower than once reported. Males experienced higher hazards of smoking initiation at all ages than females. The hazard pattern suggests that the key focus for smoking prevention are males and adolescents aged 15-18 years, and future interventions should be delivered to the right target population at the appropriate time.
本研究旨在计算中国成年人的吸烟流行率,并描述青少年时期吸烟起始的年龄风险,以及性别、居住地和年龄组之间的差异。
横断面研究。
数据来自中国大陆 120 个城市进行的多阶段抽样研究。
共纳入 9963 名年龄≥19 岁的参与者。
生存分析用于量化青少年时期每年吸烟起始的风险,对数秩检验用于比较亚组之间的风险曲线。
男性和女性的当前吸烟率分别为 27.7%和 2.0%,56.2%的当前吸烟者在 18 岁或之前开始吸烟。女性青春期吸烟的风险小于 0.5%,男性在 14 岁之前逐渐增加,在 15 岁时急剧增加(4.34%),然后在 18 岁时达到峰值(6.24%)。农村男性的吸烟起始风险高于城市男性(χ=5.35,p=0.02),而女性则没有这种差异。到 18 岁时,11.7%的参与者(女性为 1.8%,男性为 23.4%)曾经吸烟。
中国成年人的吸烟流行率低于以往报道。男性在所有年龄段的吸烟起始风险均高于女性。风险模式表明,预防吸烟的重点是男性和 15-18 岁的青少年,未来的干预措施应在适当的时间针对适当的目标人群进行。