Natural Hazards & Environment R&D, EDF Energy, London, W1T 4EZ, UK.
Department of Biosystems Engineering, College of Agronomy, Federal University of Goiás, 74690- 900, Goiânia, GO, Brazil.
Int J Biometeorol. 2024 Dec;68(12):2693-2704. doi: 10.1007/s00484-024-02778-3. Epub 2024 Sep 23.
Brazilian livestock provides a significant fraction of the food consumed globally, making the country one of the largest producers and exporters of meat, milk and eggs. However, current advances in the production of protein from Brazilian animal origin may be directly impacted by climate change and the resulting biophysical effects. Therefore, it is strategically consistent to develop measures to deal with the resulting environmental heat stress on domesticated animal species, especially the need in developing countries. This work aims to (1) evaluate the impacts of climate change on livestock (cattle-dairy, cattle-beef, goats, sheep, pigs, poultry-general) in different regions of Brazil and (2) discuss possible response strategies, associated with animal comfort and welfare. From our results, we can draw better strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change on livestock production. The results presented show an increase of high heat stress in South and Southeast and an increase of extreme heat stress in North and Central-West areas of Brazil. The rise in extreme heat stress tends to occur mostly during spring and summer and tends to vary considering the different evaluated species. Within the evaluated species, the ones that seem to be more affected by climate changes are Poultry, pigs, cattle-beef and general (temperature-humidity index value). The differences between the results for the five geographic regions in Brazil suggests that different mitigation measures need to be considered to cope with future heat stress in livestock. To ensure the long-term success of Brazil's influence on the global market for proteins of animal origin, it must achieve sustainable production systems more intensively.
巴西的牲畜为全球消费的食物提供了重要部分,使该国成为肉类、牛奶和鸡蛋的最大生产国和出口国之一。然而,巴西动物源性蛋白质生产的当前进展可能会受到气候变化和由此产生的生物物理效应的直接影响。因此,制定应对家畜种属由此产生的环境热应激的措施在战略上是一致的,特别是在发展中国家。本工作旨在(1)评估气候变化对巴西不同地区的牲畜(奶牛-奶制品、肉牛、山羊、绵羊、猪、家禽-一般)的影响,以及(2)讨论可能的应对策略,涉及动物舒适度和福利。从我们的结果中,我们可以制定出更好的策略来减轻气候变化对牲畜生产的影响。所呈现的结果显示,南部和东南部的高热应激增加,巴西北部和中西部的极端热应激增加。极端热应激的上升主要发生在春季和夏季,并且考虑到不同评估的物种而有所不同。在评估的物种中,似乎受气候变化影响更大的是家禽、猪、肉牛和一般(温湿度指数值)。巴西五个地理区域的结果之间的差异表明,需要考虑不同的缓解措施来应对未来牲畜的热应激。为了确保巴西在全球动物源性蛋白质市场上的影响力的长期成功,它必须更密集地实现可持续生产系统。