Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, London, UK.
INSERM U1068, Marseille, France.
Expert Opin Drug Discov. 2024 Nov;19(11):1297-1307. doi: 10.1080/17460441.2024.2403639. Epub 2024 Sep 24.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is exhibiting tremendous potential to reduce the massive costs and long timescales of drug discovery. There are however important challenges currently limiting the impact and scope of AI models.
In this perspective, the authors discuss a range of data issues (bias, inconsistency, skewness, irrelevance, small size, high dimensionality), how they challenge AI models, and which issue-specific mitigations have been effective. Next, they point out the challenges faced by uncertainty quantification techniques aimed at enhancing and trusting the predictions from these AI models. They also discuss how conceptual errors, unrealistic benchmarks and performance misestimation can confound the evaluation of models and thus their development. Lastly, the authors explain how human bias, whether from AI experts or drug discovery experts, constitutes another challenge that can be alleviated by gaining more prospective experience.
AI models are often developed to excel on retrospective benchmarks unlikely to anticipate their prospective performance. As a result, only a few of these models are ever reported to have prospective value (e.g. by discovering potent and innovative drug leads for a therapeutic target). The authors have discussed what can go wrong in practice with AI for drug discovery. The authors hope that this will help inform the decisions of editors, funders investors, and researchers working in this area.
人工智能(AI)在降低药物发现的巨大成本和长周期方面显示出巨大的潜力。然而,目前仍存在一些重要的挑战,限制了 AI 模型的影响和范围。
在这篇观点文章中,作者讨论了一系列数据问题(偏差、不一致性、偏度、不相关性、规模小、高维性),这些问题如何挑战 AI 模型,以及哪些特定问题的缓解措施是有效的。接下来,他们指出了不确定性量化技术所面临的挑战,这些技术旨在增强和信任这些 AI 模型的预测。他们还讨论了概念错误、不切实际的基准和性能估计错误如何混淆模型的评估,从而阻碍其发展。最后,作者解释了人为偏见(无论是来自 AI 专家还是药物发现专家)如何构成另一个挑战,可以通过获得更多前瞻性经验来缓解。
AI 模型通常被开发为在不太可能预测其前瞻性性能的回顾性基准上表现出色。因此,只有少数这些模型被报告具有前瞻性价值(例如,为治疗靶点发现有效且创新的药物先导物)。作者讨论了 AI 在药物发现实践中可能出现的问题。作者希望这将有助于编辑、资助者、投资者和在该领域工作的研究人员做出决策。