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埃塞俄比亚霍拉萨尼医院 COVID-19 患者的生存情况:一项队列研究。

Survival of hospitalised COVID-19 patients in Hawassa, Ethiopia: a cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Hawassa University, Hawassa, Ethiopia.

Oslo Center for Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

BMC Infect Dis. 2024 Sep 27;24(1):1055. doi: 10.1186/s12879-024-09905-w.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by SARS-CoV-2, led to 622,119,701 reported cases and 6,546,118 deaths. Most studies on COVID-19 patients in hospitals are from high-income countries, lacking data for developing countries such as Ethiopia.This study assesses clinical features, demographics, and risk factors for in-hospital mortality in Hawassa, Ethiopia. The research cohort comprises 804 cases exhibiting clinical diagnoses and/or radiological findings and indicative of symptoms consistent with COVID-19 at Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from September 24, 2020, to November 26, 2021. In-hospital mortality rate was predicted using Cox regression. The median age was 45 years, with males making up 64.1% of the population. 173 (21.5%) fatalities occurred, with 125 (72.3%) among males. Male patients had higher mortality rates than females. Severe and critical cases were 24% and 21%. 49.1% had at least one comorbidity, with 12.6% having multiple. Common comorbidities were diabetes (15.9%) and hypertension (15.2%). The Cox regression in Ethiopian COVID-19 patients found that factors like gender, advanced age group, disease severity, symptoms upon admission, shortness of breath, sore throat, body weakness, hypertension, diabetes, multiple comorbidities, and prior health facility visits increased the risk of COVID-19 death, similar to high-income nations. However, in Ethiopia, COVID-19 patients were young and economically active. Patients with at least one symptom had reduced death risk. As a conclusion, COVID-19 in Ethiopia mainly affected the younger demographic, particularly economically active individuals. Early detection can reduce the risk of mortality. Prompt medical attention is essential, especially for individuals with comorbidities. Further research needed on diabetes and hypertension management to reduce mortality risk. Risk factors identified at admission play a crucial role in guiding clinical decisions for intensive monitoring and treatment. Broader risk indicators help prioritize patients for allocation of hospital resources, especially in regions with limited medical facilities. Government's focus on timely testing and strict adherence to regulations crucial for reducing economic impact.

摘要

由 SARS-CoV-2 引起的 COVID-19 大流行导致报告病例 622,119,701 例,死亡 6,546,118 例。大多数关于医院 COVID-19 患者的研究都来自高收入国家,缺乏埃塞俄比亚等发展中国家的数据。本研究评估了在埃塞俄比亚 Hawassa 医院 COVID-19 患者的临床特征、人口统计学和住院死亡率的危险因素。研究队列包括 2020 年 9 月 24 日至 2021 年 11 月 26 日在 Hawassa 大学综合专科医院接受临床诊断和/或影像学检查且症状符合 COVID-19 的 804 例病例。使用 Cox 回归预测住院死亡率。中位年龄为 45 岁,男性占总人口的 64.1%。有 173 人(21.5%)死亡,其中 125 人(72.3%)为男性。男性患者的死亡率高于女性。严重和危急病例分别占 24%和 21%。49.1%至少有一种合并症,12.6%有多种合并症。常见的合并症是糖尿病(15.9%)和高血压(15.2%)。在埃塞俄比亚 COVID-19 患者中进行的 Cox 回归发现,性别、年龄较大、疾病严重程度、入院时的症状、呼吸急促、喉咙痛、身体虚弱、高血压、糖尿病、多种合并症和之前的医疗保健就诊等因素增加了 COVID-19 死亡的风险,与高收入国家相似。然而,在埃塞俄比亚,COVID-19 患者较年轻且经济活跃。至少有一种症状的患者死亡风险降低。总之,埃塞俄比亚的 COVID-19 主要影响年轻人口,特别是经济活跃的个体。早期发现可以降低死亡率。及时就医至关重要,尤其是对有合并症的患者。需要进一步研究糖尿病和高血压的管理,以降低死亡率风险。入院时确定的危险因素在指导临床决策以进行强化监测和治疗方面发挥着至关重要的作用。更广泛的风险指标有助于为患者分配医院资源提供优先级,特别是在医疗设施有限的地区。政府对及时检测和严格遵守法规的重视对于减轻经济影响至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cc9f/11429985/d99c142fce3f/12879_2024_9905_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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