LUHTAR, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
Research and Analytics, Liantis Occupational Health Services, 8000 Bruges, Belgium.
Viruses. 2024 Sep 14;16(9):1461. doi: 10.3390/v16091461.
(1) Background: early in the COVID-19 pandemic, reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing was limited. Assessing seroprevalence helps understand prevalence and reinfection risk. However, such data are lacking for the first epidemic wave in Belgian nursing homes. Therefore, we assessed SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and cumulative RT-PCR positivity in Belgian nursing homes and evaluated reinfection risk. (2) Methods: we performed a cross-sectional study in nine nursing homes in April and May 2020. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated to compare the odds of (re)infection between seropositive and seronegative participants. (3) Results: seroprevalence was 21% (95% CI: 18-23): 22% (95% CI: 18-25) in residents and 20% (95% CI: 17-24) in staff. By 20 May 2020, cumulative RT-PCR positivity was 16% (95% CI: 13-21) in residents and 8% (95% CI: 6-12) in staff. ORs for (re)infection in seropositive (compared to seronegative) residents and staff were 0.22 (95% CI: 0.06-0.72) and 3.15 (95% CI: 1.56-6.63), respectively. (4) Conclusion: during the first wave, RT-PCR test programmes underestimated the number of COVID-19 cases. The reinfection rate in residents was 3%, indicating protection, while it was 21% in staff, potentially due to less cautious health behaviour. Future outbreaks should use both RT-PCR and serological testing for complementary insights into transmission dynamics.
(1) 背景:在 COVID-19 大流行早期,逆转录聚合酶链反应 (RT-PCR) 检测受到限制。评估血清流行率有助于了解流行程度和再感染风险。然而,对于比利时养老院的第一波疫情,缺乏此类数据。因此,我们评估了比利时养老院中 SARS-CoV-2 的血清流行率和累计 RT-PCR 阳性率,并评估了再感染风险。(2) 方法:我们在 2020 年 4 月至 5 月在 9 家养老院进行了一项横断面研究。计算比值比 (OR) 以比较血清阳性和血清阴性参与者之间(再)感染的几率。(3) 结果:血清流行率为 21%(95%CI:18-23):居民为 22%(95%CI:18-25),工作人员为 20%(95%CI:17-24)。到 2020 年 5 月 20 日,居民的累计 RT-PCR 阳性率为 16%(95%CI:13-21),工作人员为 8%(95%CI:6-12)。血清阳性(与血清阴性相比)居民和工作人员的(再)感染的 OR 分别为 0.22(95%CI:0.06-0.72)和 3.15(95%CI:1.56-6.63)。(4) 结论:在第一波疫情中,RT-PCR 检测方案低估了 COVID-19 病例数。居民的再感染率为 3%,表明有保护作用,而工作人员的再感染率为 21%,可能是由于健康行为不够谨慎。未来的疫情爆发应同时使用 RT-PCR 和血清学检测,以互补了解传播动态。