National Infection Service Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
London Coronavirus Response Centre, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Euro Surveill. 2021 Feb;26(5). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.5.2100092.
Two London care homes experienced a second COVID-19 outbreak, with 29/209 (13.9%) SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR-positive cases (16/103 residents, 13/106 staff). In those with prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure, 1/88 (1.1%) individuals (antibody positive: 87; RT-PCR-positive: 1) became PCR-positive compared with 22/73 (30.1%) with confirmed seronegative status. After four months protection offered by prior infection against re-infection was 96.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 72.7-99.5%) using risk ratios from comparison of proportions and 96.1% (95% CI: 78.8-99.3%) using a penalised logistic regression model.
两家伦敦养老院发生了第二波 COVID-19 疫情,有 29/209(13.9%)的 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR 阳性病例(16/103 名居民,13/106 名工作人员)。在有先前 SARS-CoV-2 暴露史的患者中,1/88(1.1%)个体(抗体阳性:87;RT-PCR 阳性:1)与确诊血清阴性状态的 22/73(30.1%)相比,PCR 检测呈阳性。在感染前四个月,感染提供的针对再感染的保护率为 96.2%(95%置信区间(CI):72.7-99.5%),使用风险比进行比例比较,使用惩罚逻辑回归模型为 96.1%(95% CI:78.8-99.3%)。