Clinic of Infectious Diseases, San Paolo Hospital, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, Department of Health Science, University of Milan, 20142 Milan, Italy.
Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine Huddinge, Karolinska Institute, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden.
Viruses. 2024 Sep 23;16(9):1500. doi: 10.3390/v16091500.
Post COVID-19 condition (PCC) is defined as ongoing symptoms at ≥1 month after acute COVID-19. We investigated the risk of PCC in an international cohort according to viral variants. We included 7699 hospitalized patients in six centers (January 2020-June 2023); a subset of participants with ≥1 visit over the year after clinical recovery were analyzed. Variants were observed or estimated using Global Data Science Initiative (GISAID) data. Because patients returning for a post COVID-19 visit may have a higher PCC risk, and because the variant could be associated with the probability of returning, we used weighted logistic regressions. We estimated the proportion of the effect of wild-type (WT) virus vs. Omicron on PCC, which was mediated by Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, through a mediation analysis. In total, 1317 patients returned for a post COVID visit at a median of 2.6 (IQR 1.84-3.97) months after clinical recovery. WT was present in 69.6% of participants, followed by the Alpha (14.4%), Delta (8.9%), Gamma (3.9%) and Omicron strains (3.3%). Among patients with PCC, the most common manifestations were fatigue (51.7%), brain fog (32.7%) and respiratory symptoms (37.2%). Omicron vs. WT was associated with a reduced risk of PCC and PCC clusters; conversely, we observed a higher risk with the Delta and Alpha variants vs. WT. In total, 42% of the WT effect vs. Omicron on PCC risk appeared to be mediated by ICU admission. A reduced PCC risk was observed after Omicron infection, suggesting a possible reduction in the PCC burden over time. A non-negligible proportion of the variant effect on PCC risk seems mediated by increased disease severity during the acute disease.
新冠后状况(PCC)被定义为急性新冠后至少 1 个月持续存在的症状。我们根据病毒变体在国际队列中调查了 PCC 的风险。我们纳入了六个中心的 7699 名住院患者(2020 年 1 月至 2023 年 6 月);对临床康复后一年至少有一次就诊的参与者进行了亚组分析。使用全球数据科学倡议(GISAID)数据观察或估计变体。因为返回新冠后就诊的患者可能有更高的 PCC 风险,并且变体可能与返回的概率相关,所以我们使用加权逻辑回归进行分析。我们通过中介分析估计了 WT 病毒与奥密克戎变体对 PCC 影响的比例,这种影响通过 ICU 收治来介导。共有 1317 名患者在临床康复后中位数为 2.6(IQR 1.84-3.97)个月时返回新冠后就诊。WT 存在于 69.6%的参与者中,其次是 Alpha(14.4%)、Delta(8.9%)、Gamma(3.9%)和奥密克戎株(3.3%)。在 PCC 患者中,最常见的表现是疲劳(51.7%)、脑雾(32.7%)和呼吸系统症状(37.2%)。与 WT 相比,奥密克戎与 PCC 和 PCC 簇的风险降低相关;相反,我们观察到 Delta 和 Alpha 变体与 WT 相比风险更高。总的来说,WT 对奥密克戎 PCC 风险的影响中,42%似乎是通过 ICU 收治来介导的。奥密克戎感染后 PCC 风险降低,表明随着时间的推移,PCC 负担可能会减轻。变体对 PCC 风险的影响中有相当大的比例似乎是通过急性疾病期间疾病严重程度的增加来介导的。