Global, regional, and national trends in the burden of breast cancer among individuals aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021: an analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2021.

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer poses a substantial health challenge for the world's over-70 population. However, data on the impact and epidemiology of breast cancer in this age group are limited. We aimed to evaluate global, regional, and national breast cancer trends among those aged 70 and older between 1990 and 2021.

METHODS

In this trend analysis based on the 2021 Global Burden of Diseases (GBD), we report on the incidence rates and Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) counts, as well as the incidence rates per 100,000 individuals and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) for breast cancer among individuals aged 70 and above at the global, regional, and national levels. We analyzed these global trends by age, sex, and socio-developmental index (SDI). Joinpoint regression elucidates pivotal trend shifts.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2021, the global incidence of breast cancer in the over-70 population modestly increased from 104 to 107 per 100,000, with significant trend changes in 1995, 2005, and 2018. Regionally, High-income North America had the highest incidence in 2021, while North Africa and the Middle East saw the steepest rise in incidence and DALYs. The only decrease was in the High SDI quintile. The 70-74 age group experienced the largest increase globally, with rates rising from 86.3 to 90 per 100,000 (AAPC 0.27).

CONCLUSION

From 1990 to 2021, global breast cancer incidence in the over-70 population saw a slight uptick, contrasted by a significant reduction in DALYs, likely due to progress in endocrine and targeted therapies. This underscores the critical need for enhanced screening and personalized treatments for older patients.