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基于短期心血管效应的中国天津空气质量健康指数改进研究。

An Improved Air Health Index Based on Short-Term Cardiovascular Effects in Tianjin, China.

机构信息

Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin, China.

Huaian Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Huaian, China.

出版信息

Int J Public Health. 2024 Sep 16;69:1607214. doi: 10.3389/ijph.2024.1607214. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.3389/ijph.2024.1607214
PMID:39351212
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11440067/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To construct an improved air health index (AHI) based on cardiovascular years of life lost (YLL) in Tianjin and assess its utility.

METHODS

We derived the exposure-response coefficients from time-series models and calculated the excess YLL (EYLL) for simultaneous exposure to air pollution and non-optimum temperature. The AHI was developed using the EYLL at the WHO 2021 Air Quality Guideline annual mean values and optimum temperature as a reference. We assessed the validity of AHI by comparing the correlations and model fit between the AHI, air quality health index (AQHI), and air quality index (AQI) with cause-specific YLLs.

RESULTS

Each inter quartile range () increase in AHI was associated with 256.31 (95%: 183.05, 329.57), 150.34 (95%: 108.23, 192.46), 90.41 (95%: 64.80, 116.02) and 60.80 (95%:33.41, 88.18) person-year increments for non-accidental, cardiovascular, ischaemic, and cerebrovascular YLL, respectively. The AHI, in contrast to the AQHI and AQI, showed the strongest correlations with the risks of cause-specific YLLs, both in the total population and subpopulations.

CONCLUSION

The AHI based on cardiovascular YLL has a greater predictive ability for health risks.

摘要

目的

基于天津市心血管寿命损失年(YLL)构建改良的空气健康指数(AHI),并评估其效用。

方法

我们从时间序列模型中推导出暴露反应系数,并计算同时暴露于空气污染和非最佳温度下的超额 YLL(EYLL)。AHI 是根据世界卫生组织 2021 年空气质量指南的年平均值和最佳温度下的 EYLL 以及参考温度来制定的。我们通过比较 AHI、空气质量健康指数(AQHI)和空气质量指数(AQI)与特定原因 YLL 之间的相关性和模型拟合来评估 AHI 的有效性。

结果

AHI 每增加一个四分位距(IQR),与非意外、心血管、缺血性和脑血管 YLL 分别增加 256.31(95%置信区间:183.05,329.57)、150.34(95%置信区间:108.23,192.46)、90.41(95%置信区间:64.80,116.02)和 60.80(95%置信区间:33.41,88.18)人年增量相关。与 AQHI 和 AQI 相比,AHI 与全人群和亚人群特定原因 YLL 的风险具有最强的相关性。

结论

基于心血管 YLL 的 AHI 对健康风险具有更大的预测能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9f4/11440067/ad7192ef5ece/ijph-69-1607214-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9f4/11440067/d052635b6e01/ijph-69-1607214-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9f4/11440067/ad7192ef5ece/ijph-69-1607214-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9f4/11440067/d052635b6e01/ijph-69-1607214-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9f4/11440067/ad7192ef5ece/ijph-69-1607214-g002.jpg

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