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调查新冠疫情干扰的纵向轨迹:方法学挑战与建议

Investigating Longitudinal Trajectories of COVID-19 Disruption: Methodological Challenges and Recommendations.

作者信息

Rothenberg W Andrew, Lansford Jennifer E, Skinner Ann T, Chang Lei, Deater-Deckard Kirby, Di Giunta Laura, Dodge Kenneth A, Gurdal Sevtap, Junla Daranee, Liu Qin, Long Qian, Oburu Paul, Pastorelli Concetta, Sorbring Emma, Steinberg Laurence, Tirado Liliana Maria Uribe, Yotanyamaneewong Saengduean, Alampay Liane Peña, Al-Hassan Suha M, Bacchini Dario, Bornstein Marc H

机构信息

Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

University of Macau, MacaoDa Xue Da Ma Lu, Macau, China.

出版信息

Prev Sci. 2024 Oct 2. doi: 10.1007/s11121-024-01726-2.

DOI:10.1007/s11121-024-01726-2
PMID:39356350
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12019998/
Abstract

Relatively few studies have longitudinally investigated how COVID-19 has disrupted the lives and health of youth beyond the first year of the pandemic. This may be because longitudinal researchers face complex challenges in figuring out how to code time, account for changes in COVID-19 spread, and model longitudinal COVID-19-related trajectories across environmental contexts. This manuscript considers each of these three methodological issues by modeling trajectories of COVID-19 disruption in 1080 youth from 12 cultural groups in nine nations between March 2020-July 2022 using multilevel modeling. Our findings suggest that for studies that attempt to examine cross-cultural longitudinal trajectories during COVID-19, starting such trajectories on March 11, 2020, measuring disruption along 6-month time intervals, capturing COVID-19 spread using death rates and the COVID-19 Health and Containment Index scores, and using modeling methods that combine etic and emic approaches are each especially useful. In offering these suggestions, we hope to start methodological dialogues among longitudinal researchers that ultimately result in the proliferation of research on the longitudinal impacts of COVID-19 that the world so badly needs.

摘要

相对较少的研究纵向调查了新冠疫情爆发一年之后,新冠病毒病(COVID-19)如何扰乱了年轻人的生活和健康。这可能是因为纵向研究人员在确定如何对时间进行编码、考虑COVID-19传播的变化以及对不同环境背景下与COVID-19相关的纵向轨迹进行建模时面临复杂的挑战。本手稿通过使用多层次建模对2020年3月至2022年7月期间来自九个国家12个文化群体的1080名年轻人的COVID-19干扰轨迹进行建模,来考虑这三个方法学问题中的每一个。我们的研究结果表明,对于试图在COVID-19期间研究跨文化纵向轨迹的研究,在2020年3月11日开始此类轨迹,以6个月的时间间隔测量干扰,使用死亡率和COVID-19健康与遏制指数得分来捕捉COVID-19的传播,以及使用结合客位和主位方法的建模方法,每一项都特别有用。在提出这些建议时,我们希望在纵向研究人员之间展开方法学对话,最终促成对COVID-19纵向影响的研究大量涌现,而这正是当今世界迫切需要的。

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本文引用的文献

1
How adolescents' lives were disrupted over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic: A longitudinal investigation in 12 cultural groups in 9 nations from March 2020 to July 2022.新冠疫情期间青少年的生活如何受到干扰:对2020年3月至2022年7月期间9个国家12个文化群体的纵向调查。
Dev Psychopathol. 2025 Feb;37(1):325-341. doi: 10.1017/S0954579423001621. Epub 2024 Jan 26.
2
Disparities in COVID-19 related outcomes in the United States by race and ethnicity pre-vaccination era: an umbrella review of meta-analyses.疫苗接种前时代美国按种族和民族划分的 COVID-19 相关结局差异:荟萃分析的伞式综述。
Front Public Health. 2023 Sep 7;11:1206988. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1206988. eCollection 2023.
3
Longitudinal Covid-19 effects on child mental health: vulnerability and age dependent trajectories.新冠疫情对儿童心理健康的长期影响:易感性与年龄相关轨迹
Child Adolesc Psychiatry Ment Health. 2023 Sep 4;17(1):104. doi: 10.1186/s13034-023-00652-5.
4
A systematic review and meta-analysis of the evidence on learning during the COVID-19 pandemic.关于新冠疫情期间学习情况证据的系统综述与荟萃分析。
Nat Hum Behav. 2023 Mar;7(3):375-385. doi: 10.1038/s41562-022-01506-4. Epub 2023 Jan 30.
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How COVID-19 shaped mental health: from infection to pandemic effects.新冠疫情如何影响心理健康:从感染到大流行的影响。
Nat Med. 2022 Oct;28(10):2027-2037. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-02028-2. Epub 2022 Oct 3.
6
A systematic review of the mental health changes of children and young people before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.COVID-19 大流行前后儿童和青少年心理健康变化的系统评价。
Eur Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2023 Jun;32(6):995-1013. doi: 10.1007/s00787-022-02060-0. Epub 2022 Aug 12.
7
Parent-adolescent relationship quality as a moderator of links between COVID-19 disruption and reported changes in mothers' and young adults' adjustment in five countries.父母与青少年关系质量作为 moderator 对新冠疫情干扰与五国报告的母亲和成年早期个体适应变化之间关系的影响。
Dev Psychol. 2021 Oct;57(10):1648-1666. doi: 10.1037/dev0001236.
8
Effects of COVID-19-Related School Closures on Student Achievement-A Systematic Review.与新冠疫情相关的学校停课对学生学业成绩的影响——一项系统综述
Front Psychol. 2021 Sep 16;12:746289. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.746289. eCollection 2021.
9
Global minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of caregivers: a modelling study.全球受 COVID-19 相关孤儿和照顾者死亡影响的儿童的最低估计数:一项建模研究。
Lancet. 2021 Jul 31;398(10298):391-402. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8. Epub 2021 Jul 21.
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