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基于改进鲸鱼优化算法和支持向量回归的颗粒物浓度预测

PM prediction based on modified whale optimization algorithm and support vector regression.

作者信息

Liu Zuhan, Huang Xin, Wang Xing

机构信息

School of Information Engineering, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang, 330099, China.

Jiangxi Province Key Laboratory of Smart Water Conservancy, Nanchang, 330099, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 7;14(1):23296. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-74122-z.

Abstract

In order to obtain the pattern of variation of PMconcentrations in the atmosphere in Nanchang City, we build a Support Vector Regression(SVR) with modified Whale Optimization Algorithm(WOA) hybrid model (namely mWOA-SVR model) that can predict the PMconcentration. Firstly, according to the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) method to examine the dynamic relationship between air pollutants and meteorological factors together with them, PM, SOand CO were selected as air pollutant concentration characteristics, while daily maximum and minimum temperatures, and wind power levels were selected as meteorological characteristics; then, using modified WOA algorithm for parameter selection of SVR model, four sets of better parameter combinations were found; finally, the mWOA-SVR model was built by the four sets parameters to predict PMconcentration. The results show that the prediction accuracy of mixed mWOA-SVR model with pollutant concentration plus weather factors as the feature was higher than single pollutant concentration.

摘要

为了获取南昌市大气中颗粒物(PM)浓度的变化规律,我们构建了一种结合改进鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)的支持向量回归(SVR)混合模型(即mWOA-SVR模型)来预测PM浓度。首先,根据皮尔逊相关系数(PCC)方法,考察空气污染物与气象因素之间的动态关系,选取PM、SO₂和CO作为空气污染物浓度特征,同时选取日最高和最低气温以及风力等级作为气象特征;然后,使用改进的WOA算法对SVR模型进行参数选择,找到了四组较好的参数组合;最后,利用这四组参数构建mWOA-SVR模型来预测PM浓度。结果表明,以污染物浓度加气象因素为特征的混合mWOA-SVR模型的预测精度高于单一污染物浓度模型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d4a0/11458793/cda012c0d492/41598_2024_74122_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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