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使用青少年版患者健康问卷-9 评估自杀企图风险。

Risk for Suicide Attempts Assessed Using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 Modified for Teens.

机构信息

Tsui Laboratory, Department of Biomedical and Health Informatics, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Oct 1;7(10):e2438144. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.38144.


DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.38144
PMID:39378032
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11581555/
Abstract

IMPORTANCE: Suicide is a leading cause of death in US youths. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether screening with supplemental items 10 to 13 on the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 modified for teens (PHQ-9M) improves prediction of youth suicide attempts beyond the information provided by the first 9 items alone (the PHQ-9). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study used a retrospective cohort of adolescents aged 12 to 17 years who were screened for depression in outpatient facilities within a pediatric health care system between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2022, with up to 1 year of follow-up to assess the occurrence of suicidal behavior. Follow-up was completed on December 31, 2023. EXPOSURE: Screening with the PHQ-9M. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: This study developed and compared prediction using 3 Cox proportional hazards regression models (CR-9, CR-13, and CR-3) of subsequent suicide attempts, determined by the hospital's electronic health records up to 1 year following the last PHQ-9M screening. The CR-9 model used the PHQ-9 and the CR-13 model used all 13 items of PHQ-9M. The CR-3 model used the 3 most impactful variables selected from the 13 PHQ-9M items and PHQ-9 total score. All models were evaluated across 4 prediction horizons (30, 90, 180, and 365 days) following PHQ-9M screenings. Evaluation metrics were the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC). RESULTS: Of 130 028 outpatients (65 520 [50.4%] male) with 272 402 PHQ-9M screenings, 549 (0.4%) had subsequent suicide attempts within 1 year following the PHQ-9M screening. The AUROC of the CR-9 model in the 365-day horizon was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.75-0.79); of the CR-13 model, 0.80 (95% CI, 0.78-0.82); and of the CR-3 model, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.76-0.81); the AUPRC of the CR-9 model was 0.02 (95% CI, 0.02-0.03); of the CR-13 model, 0.03 (95% CI, 0.02-0.03); and of the CR-3 model, 0.02 (95% CI, 0.02-0.03). The 3 most impactful items using adjusted hazard ratios were supplemental item 13 (lifetime suicide attempts; 3.06 [95% CI, 2.47-3.80]), supplemental item 10 (depressed mood severity in the past year; 2.99 [95% CI, 2.32-3.86]), and supplemental item 12 (serious suicidal ideation in the past month; 1.63 [95% CI, 1.25-2.12]). All of the models achieved higher AUROCs as prediction horizons shortened. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of adolescent PHQ-9M screenings, the supplemental items on PHQ-9M screening improved prediction of youth suicide attempts compared with screening using the PHQ-9 across all prediction horizons, suggesting that PHQ-9M screening should be considered during outpatient visits to improve prediction of suicide attempts.

摘要

重要性:自杀是美国青少年死亡的主要原因。 目的:评估青少年患者健康问卷-9 修订版(PHQ-9M)的补充项目 10 至 13 是否可以改善对青少年自杀企图的预测,超过仅使用前 9 个项目提供的信息(PHQ-9)。 设计、地点和参与者:这是一项回顾性队列研究,使用了一个回顾性队列,其中包括在儿科医疗保健系统的门诊设施中接受抑郁症筛查的 12 至 17 岁青少年,随访时间长达 1 年,以评估自杀行为的发生。随访于 2023 年 12 月 31 日完成。 暴露:PHQ-9M 筛查。 主要结果和措施:本研究开发并比较了 3 个 Cox 比例风险回归模型(CR-9、CR-13 和 CR-3)对随后自杀企图的预测,这些预测是根据医院的电子健康记录确定的,随访时间为最后一次 PHQ-9M 筛查后 1 年。CR-9 模型使用 PHQ-9,CR-13 模型使用 PHQ-9M 的所有 13 个项目。CR-3 模型使用从 PHQ-9M 项目和 PHQ-9 总分中选择的 3 个最具影响力的变量。所有模型都在 PHQ-9M 筛查后的 4 个预测时间范围内(30、90、180 和 365 天)进行了评估。评估指标是接受者操作特征曲线下的面积(AUROC)和精度召回曲线下的面积(AUPRC)。 结果:在 130028 名门诊患者(65520 名男性[50.4%])中进行了 272402 次 PHQ-9M 筛查,其中 549 名(0.4%)在 PHQ-9M 筛查后 1 年内发生了自杀企图。CR-9 模型在 365 天预测时间的 AUROC 为 0.77(95%CI,0.75-0.79);CR-13 模型为 0.80(95%CI,0.78-0.82);CR-3 模型为 0.79(95%CI,0.76-0.81);CR-9 模型的 AUPRC 为 0.02(95%CI,0.02-0.03);CR-13 模型为 0.03(95%CI,0.02-0.03);CR-3 模型为 0.02(95%CI,0.02-0.03)。使用调整后的危险比,最具影响力的 3 个项目是补充项目 13(终生自杀企图;3.06[95%CI,2.47-3.80])、补充项目 10(过去一年的抑郁情绪严重程度;2.99[95%CI,2.32-3.86])和补充项目 12(过去一个月的严重自杀意念;1.63[95%CI,1.25-2.12])。所有模型的 AUROC 随着预测时间的缩短而提高。 结论和相关性:在这项青少年 PHQ-9M 筛查的队列研究中,与仅使用 PHQ-9 进行筛查相比,PHQ-9M 筛查的补充项目改善了对青少年自杀企图的预测,这表明在门诊就诊时应考虑进行 PHQ-9M 筛查,以提高自杀企图的预测能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/06213d9801d6/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/a8f6438401c5/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/36ac402b329e/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/06213d9801d6/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/a8f6438401c5/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/36ac402b329e/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2d98/11581555/06213d9801d6/jamanetwopen-e2438144-g003.jpg

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Mental pain and lifetime suicide attempts in early adolescence: a preliminary study.

Child Adolesc Psychiatry Ment Health. 2025-3-22

[2]
Differences in Reporting Suicide Ideation and Attempt: Implications for Suicide Risk Screening in Pediatric Primary Care.

Acad Pediatr. 2025

本文引用的文献

[1]
Adolescents Who Do Not Endorse Risk via the Patient Health Questionnaire Before Self-Harm or Suicide.

JAMA Psychiatry. 2024-7-1

[2]
Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors Among High School Students - Youth Risk Behavior Survey, United States, 2021.

MMWR Suppl. 2023-4-28

[3]
Prediction of Suicide Attempts and Suicide-Related Events Among Adolescents Seen in Emergency Departments.

JAMA Netw Open. 2023-2-1

[4]
Trends in Positive Depression and Suicide Risk Screens in Pediatric Primary Care During COVID-19.

Acad Pediatr. 2023-8

[5]
Using Data-Driven Machine Learning to Predict Unplanned ICU Transfers with Critical Deterioration from Electronic Health Records.

Stud Health Technol Inform. 2022-6-6

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J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2022-7

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J Affect Disord. 2022-2-15

[8]
Utility of item 9 of the patient health questionnaire in the prospective identification of adolescents at risk of suicide attempt.

Suicide Life Threat Behav. 2021-10

[9]
Which PHQ-9 Items Can Effectively Screen for Suicide? Machine Learning Approaches.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021-3-24

[10]
Natural language processing and machine learning of electronic health records for prediction of first-time suicide attempts.

JAMIA Open. 2021-3-17

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