Can CONUT and PNI Scores Predict Necrotizing Pancreatitis in Acute Pancreatitis Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department?

Acute pancreatitis, characterized by pancreatic inflammation, poses significant morbidity and mortality worldwide, with varied etiologies including gallstones, alcohol, and certain medications. Necrotizing pancreatitis represents a severe form of parenchymal damage with considerable impact on patient quality of life. Early identification of necrotizing pancreatitis is crucial for timely intervention and improved outcomes. The aim of this study was to investigate the usability of CONUT and PNI scores as prognostic indicators. We conducted a retrospective observational study involving patients presenting to the emergency department with acute pancreatitis between January 2020 and October 2023. The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and Prognostic Nutrition Index (PNI) were calculated from serum biomarkers to assess nutritional status. Patients were categorized into necrotizing and nonnecrotizing pancreatitis groups, and the utility of CONUT and PNI scores in predicting necrotizing pancreatitis was evaluated. A total of 339 patients were included, with 8.26% diagnosed with necrotizing pancreatitis. CONUT and PNI scores significantly differed between necrotizing and nonnecrotizing groups, with higher CONUT scores and lower PNI scores observed in the necrotizing group. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed significant predictive value of CONUT and PNI scores for necrotizing pancreatitis, with cutoff values of >5 and ≤34, respectively. CONUT and PNI scores demonstrate promise in predicting necrotizing pancreatitis in patients admitted to the emergency department with acute pancreatitis. Additionally, these scores may serve as prognostic indicators for mortality in acute pancreatitis patients. Early identification using CONUT and PNI scores could facilitate timely intervention, potentially reducing mortality and morbidity in this patient population.