Suter Flurina, Wanner Miriam, Menges Dominik, Wicki Andreas, Korol Dimitri, Rohrmann Sabine
Division of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Department of Epidemiology, Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland.
Cancer Registry Zurich, Zug, Schaffhausen and Schwyz, Institute of Pathology and Molecular Pathology, University Hospital Zurich, 8006 Zurich, Switzerland.
Cancers (Basel). 2024 Oct 3;16(19):3381. doi: 10.3390/cancers16193381.
This study aims to investigate differences in cancer diagnosis based on absolute case numbers and age-standardized incidence rate ratios (IRRs) in the pre-Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) years (2018/19) and the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020, 2021) in two Swiss cantons. : Data of the Swiss cantonal cancer registry of the cantons of Zurich (ZH) and Zug (ZG) were used to descriptively investigate differences in annual and monthly absolute numbers regarding all-cancer and the five most common cancer types. Directly age-standardized monthly incidence rates (IRs) were calculated. Multivariate Quasipoisson regression models were fitted to determine the IRRs with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). : Annual absolute numbers of all investigated cancers were similar in 2018/19, 2020, and 2021, except for prostate cancer (increase of 20.8% in 2021 compared to 2018/19). In 2020, there were generally more cancer diagnoses in January and February followed by a decrease in April and May. Compared to the pre-COVID-19 period, lower IRs were observed in 2020 for all-cancer (IRR = 0.96 [95% CI 0.96, 0.97]) and female breast cancer (0.92 [0.89, 0.96]), whereas higher IRs were observed in 2021 for all-cancer (1.02 [1.02, 1.02]) and prostate cancer (1.23 [1.18, 1.28]). : Cancer detection and diagnoses decreased during the first year of the pandemic, especially during the most stringent lockdown phase in April. The findings of this study may inform the decisions of policymakers and public health system during future pandemics.
本研究旨在调查瑞士两个州在2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行前的年份(2018/19年)以及COVID-19大流行的头两年(2020年、2021年)基于绝对病例数和年龄标准化发病率比(IRR)的癌症诊断差异。:使用苏黎世州(ZH)和楚格州(ZG)的瑞士州癌症登记数据,对所有癌症和五种最常见癌症类型的年度和月度绝对病例数差异进行描述性研究。计算直接年龄标准化月度发病率(IR)。拟合多变量拟泊松回归模型以确定具有95%置信区间(95%CI)的IRR。:2018/19年、2020年和2021年所有调查癌症的年度绝对病例数相似,但前列腺癌除外(2021年比2018/19年增加20.8%)。2020年,1月和2月的癌症诊断病例通常较多,随后4月和5月有所下降。与COVID-19大流行前时期相比,2020年所有癌症(IRR = 0.96 [95%CI 0.96, 0.97])和女性乳腺癌(0.92 [0.89, 0.96])的发病率较低,而2021年所有癌症(1.02 [1.02, 1.02])和前列腺癌(1.23 [1.18, 1.28])的发病率较高。:在大流行的第一年,癌症检测和诊断有所下降,尤其是在4月最严格的封锁阶段。本研究结果可为未来大流行期间政策制定者和公共卫生系统的决策提供参考。