Workflow for predictive risk assessments of UVCBs: cheminformatics library design, QSAR, and read-across approaches applied to complex mixtures of metal naphthenates.

Substances of unknown or variable composition, complex reaction products, and biological materials (UVCBs) are commonly found in the environment. However, assessing their human toxicological risk is challenging due to their variable composition and many constituents. Metal naphthenate salts are one such category of UVCBs that are the reaction products of naphthenic acids with metals to form complex mixtures. Metal naphthenates are often found or used in household and industrial materials with potential for human exposure, but very few of these materials have been evaluated for causing human health hazards. Herein, we evaluate metal naphthenates using predictions derived from read-across and quantitative structure-activity/property relationship (QSAR/QSPR) models. Accordingly, we first built a computational chemistry library by enumerating the structures of naphthenic acids and derived 11,850 QSAR-acceptable structures; then, we used open and commercial tools on these structures to predict a set of physicochemical properties and toxicity endpoints. We then compared the QSAR/QSPR predictions with available experimental data on naphthenic acids to provide a more complete picture of the contributions of the components to the toxicity profiles of metal naphthenate mixtures. The available systematic acute oral toxicity values (LD) and QSAR LD predictions of all the naphthenic acid components indicated low concern for toxicity. The point of departure predictions for chronic repeated dose toxicity for the naphthenic acid components using QSAR models developed from studies on rats ranged from 25 to 50 mg/kg/day. These values are in good agreement with findings from studies on copper and zinc naphthenates, which had no observed adverse effect levels of 30 and 118 mg/kg/day, respectively. Hence, this study demonstrates how published approaches can be used to identify the potential components of metal naphthenates for further testing, inform groupings of UVCBs such as naphthenates, as well as fill the data gaps using read-across and QSAR models to inform risk assessment.