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美国女性间皮瘤死亡率趋势评估:解读近期的《发病率与死亡率周报》(MMWR)内容

An evaluation of trends for mesothelioma mortality in American women: Addressing the content of a recent Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).

作者信息

Stevens Michael E, Tuttle Brett P, Brew David W, Paustenbach Dennis J

机构信息

Paustenbach and Associates, Jackson, WY, USA.

出版信息

Toxicol Ind Health. 2025 Jan;41(1):40-60. doi: 10.1177/07482337241293201. Epub 2024 Oct 24.

Abstract

Mesothelioma is a fatal disease that has historically been associated with exposure to airborne asbestos. Because occupational asbestos exposures dropped dramatically in the late 1960s and early 1970s, far fewer cases of mesothelioma today are due to these fibers but, instead, are usually a result of the aging process or genetic predisposition. In May of 2022, a Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) was issued by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) regarding malignant mesothelioma incidence in women from 1999 to 2020. While this MMWR alerted citizens to the continued presence of the disease, after reading this article one might have thought that the CDC was suggesting that the disease was increasing in women due to asbestos exposures (which it is not). In the present analysis, we investigate several factors related to the interpretation of epidemiological data for mesothelioma, including the role of asbestos as a risk factor over time. The authors conducted a review of the scientific community's understanding of mesothelioma incidence and asbestos exposures amongst women, as well as an investigation of the methods and references in the MMWR article. Although various articles have recently discussed the incidence of both peritoneal and pleural mesothelioma in women, it is fortunate that the age-adjusted rates for mesothelioma have remained flat (neither increased nor decreased significantly) in women for the past 50 years. Incredibly few women in the U. S. have had appreciable cumulative exposures to any type of asbestos (chrysotile, amosite, or crocidolite) in the workplace or from the ambient environment, especially since about 1965-1970. In this paper, we highlight six factors that should be considered when evaluating the incidence of mesothelioma amongst American women in the current era. Without sufficient consideration of these factors, improper conclusions have been drawn over the past several years.

摘要

间皮瘤是一种致命疾病,历史上一直与接触空气中的石棉有关。由于20世纪60年代末和70年代初职业性石棉接触大幅下降,如今因这些纤维导致的间皮瘤病例少得多,相反,通常是衰老过程或遗传易感性的结果。2022年5月,美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)发布了一份《发病率与死亡率周报》(MMWR),内容涉及1999年至2020年女性恶性间皮瘤发病率。虽然这份MMWR提醒公民该疾病仍存在,但读完这篇文章后,人们可能会认为CDC暗示该疾病在女性中因石棉接触而增加(但实际并非如此)。在本分析中,我们研究了与间皮瘤流行病学数据解读相关的几个因素,包括石棉作为风险因素随时间的作用。作者回顾了科学界对女性间皮瘤发病率和石棉接触情况的理解,以及对MMWR文章中的方法和参考文献的调查。尽管最近有各种文章讨论了女性腹膜和胸膜间皮瘤的发病率,但幸运的是,在过去50年里,女性间皮瘤的年龄调整发病率一直持平(既没有显著增加也没有显著下降)。自1965 - 1970年左右以来,美国极少有女性在工作场所或周围环境中累积接触过任何类型的石棉(温石棉、铁石棉或青石棉)。在本文中,我们强调了在评估当今美国女性间皮瘤发病率时应考虑的六个因素。如果没有充分考虑这些因素,过去几年就会得出错误结论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a237/11626854/99807a0be416/10.1177_07482337241293201-fig1.jpg

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